Champions League
Montpellier
Skanderborg AGF
Prediction for Montpellier — Skanderborg AGF
54%
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Atlético Tembetary vs Paraguari Ac: match prediction on 28 September 2026
Atlético Tembetary
Paraguari Ac
Prediction for
Slight edge: Atlético Tembetary
48%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
33%
1
32%
X
35%
2
Average bookmaker line (40)
2.68
1
2.84
X
2.56
2
Odds range
2.50 — 2.76
for outcome 1
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 27 Sep, 20:35- Атлетико Тембетары — 11. place, 30 points after 25 games (8 wins, 6 draws, 11 losses)
- Парагуари — 8. place, 35 points after 25 games (10 wins, 5 draws, 10 losses)
- Атлетико Тембетары, last 5 games: 1 wins, 1 draws, 3 losses
- Парагуари, last 5 games: 5 wins, 0 losses
- Head-to-head: 1 games, Атлетико Тембетары — 0, 1 draws, Парагуари — 0
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Atlético Tembetary
DLLWW
2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses
Paraguari Ac
WWWWL
4 wins · 1 loss
Head to head 1
0Atlético Tembetary
1Draw
0Paraguari Ac
All head-to-head
Bookmaker market
40
bookmakers counted
2.68
Average bookmaker line
2.50 — 2.76
Odds range
More predictions
All match predictions
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 27 Sep, 20:35Form reversal
Paraguari Ac entered the match in 8th place with 35 points from 25 games, while Atlético Tembetary trailed in 11th with 30 points. The visitors had not lost in five matches, scoring 13 goals and conceding 6, whereas the home side had managed only 4 points from their previous five outings, with a goal difference of 5:7. The head-to-head record offered no guarantee of a home win, as the two sides had drawn 1:1 in their only previous meeting earlier that year.
Betting market movement
The betting markets had favoured Paraguari Ac throughout the build-up, with the away win odds rising from 2.01 to 2.55 in the final hours before kick-off, a 26.8 per cent increase. Conversely, the home win price dropped from 3.14 to 2.67, a 14.8 per cent fall, while the draw became shorter from 3.28 to 2.84. The model had predicted Atlético Tembetary to score 1.6 goals and Paraguari AC 1.2, with a 27 per cent probability for a draw.
Statistical contrast
Atlético Tembetary averaged 48 per cent possession and 4.7 shots on target over their last 10 matches, compared to Paraguari Ac's 40 per cent possession and 4.1 shots on target. Atlético Tembetary conceded 33 goals across the season, with 24 per cent falling in the 46-60 minute period, while Paraguari AC scored 30 goals, with 54 per cent arriving after the 61st minute. Atlético Tembetary also saw a red card issued to A. Chaparro in their most recent game on 24 September.