Andebol 1
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Baltika vs Krylya Sovetov: match prediction on 2 September 2026
Baltika
Krylya Sovetov
Prediction for
Win: Baltika
53%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
53%
1
28%
X
19%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 31 Aug, 19:02- Балтика, last 5 games: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 losses
- Крылья Советов, last 5 games: 1 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 8 games, Балтика — 5, 1 draws, Крылья Советов — 2
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Baltika
DDWDL
1 win · 3 draws · 1 loss
Krylya Sovetov
WDDDW
2 wins · 3 draws
Head to head 9
5Baltika
1Draw
3Krylya Sovetov
- 8 AugKrylya Sovetov — Baltika0:2
- 22 FebKrylya Sovetov — Baltika0:1
- 7 Dec 2025Baltika — Krylya Sovetov2:0
- 9 Aug 2025Krylya Sovetov — Baltika1:1
- 20 Apr 2024Baltika — Krylya Sovetov2:1
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 31 Aug, 19:02Baltika win, confidence 53%. The visitors arrive without two suspended players and have lost three of their last four league meetings against this side, while the hosts have scored 35 per cent of their goals in the final 15 minutes of matches.
Form and momentum
Baltika collected 8 points from their last 5 matches — 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat — with 8 goals scored and 4 conceded. Krylya Sovetov managed only 5 points from the same span: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses, and 7 goals scored against 9 conceded. The visitors lost 1:4 at home to Makhachkala on 16 August and drew 3:3 away at Akhmat Grozny two days later.
Head-to-head record
Eight meetings in recent years give Baltika 5 wins, Krylya Sovetov 2, and 1 draw. The last four fixtures all ended with Baltika either winning or drawing, and in the two most recent encounters Baltika kept clean sheets — 2:0 away on 8 August and 1:0 in a friendly in February. The visitors have not won here since September 2023, when they took a 2:1 victory in the Cup.
Suspensions and absences
Krylya Sovetov face two suspensions. K. Jeffrey received a red card and a yellow card on 16 August, and Geoffrey Charles Chinedu was sent off the same day. Both are unavailable for selection. Baltika have no such issues reported and field a full squad.
Model expectations
The statistical model projects Baltika to score 1.4 goals and Krylya Sovetov 0.7. A 1:0 result carries 17 per cent probability, followed by 0:0 and 1:1 at 12 per cent each. The draw probability stands at 28 per cent, and both teams to score at 38 per cent. Three or more goals in the match are expected in 35 per cent of simulations.
Where the match is decided
Baltika score 35 per cent of their goals in the 76-90 minute period, while Krylya Sovetov concede 25 per cent of their goals in that same window. The visitors also lose 22 per cent of goals against them in the 31-45 minute segment. If Baltika maintain their intensity late, the match could swing in the final quarter of an hour.