MPBL
Bulacan Kuyas
San Juan Knights
Prediction for Bulacan Kuyas — San Juan Knights
67%
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Bandari vs 3K: match prediction on 4 September 2026
Bandari
3K
Prediction for
Win: Bandari
89%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
89%
1
9%
X
2%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 2 Sep, 13:18- Бандари, last 5 games: 2 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses
- 3К, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Bandari
DLWLW
2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses
3K
DDWWD
2 wins · 3 draws
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 2 Sep, 13:18Bandari to win, 65% confidence
The model expects a one-sided affair. Bandari are projected to score 2.8 goals while 3K are expected to find the net just 0.3 times. The three most likely scorelines all go the hosts' way: 2:0 at 19%, 3:0 at 17%, and 1:0 at 13%. A draw is priced at just 9%, and the chance of both sides scoring sits at 21%. With 59% probability of three or more goals, the shape of this match is clear.
Bandari have been inconsistent. Their last five matches brought two wins, one draw, and two defeats, earning seven points from a possible fifteen. They scored three goals and conceded three across those fixtures. The results were uneven: a 2:0 Shield Cup victory away at KCB, a 0:1 loss to Mathare United, a 1:0 home win over Tusker, a 0:2 defeat to APS Bomet, and a 0:0 draw with Police.
3K have been far harder to beat. Their last five matches produced two wins and three draws, with zero losses. They collected nine points and scored seven goals while conceding just three. The run included a 1:1 draw at home to Migori Youth, a 3:0 win away at Mwatate United, a 3:2 home victory over Talanta, and scoreless draws against Mombasa Elite and Equity Bank. They have kept three clean sheets on the spin.
Bandari's goals arrive in clusters rather than evenly across the match. Of their seven goals this season, 14% came in the opening 15 minutes, 29% between 16 and 30 minutes, and another 29% in each of the periods 46-60 and 76-90. The middle thirds of both halves produced nothing. Their defensive record shows a different pattern: goals conceded are spread more evenly, with 14% in each of the six periods. They are vulnerable early and late, but the middle of the game is quiet.
This prediction stops holding if 3K find a way through. The visitors have not lost in five matches and have scored in three of those five outings. If they can break the 21% BTTS probability by scoring first, the model's shape changes. A draw suits 3K — and given how they run the clock down, that is the main threat.