Champions League
Montpellier
Skanderborg AGF
Prediction for Montpellier — Skanderborg AGF
54%
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Cariari Pococi vs Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC: match prediction on 24 September 2026
Cariari Pococi
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC
Prediction for
Win: Cariari Pococi
46%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
45%
1
26%
X
29%
2
Average bookmaker line (25)
2.00
1
3.47
X
3.16
2
Odds range
1.86 — 2.11
for outcome 1
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 1 Sep, 20:04- Карьяри Пококи — 7. place, 7 points after 3 games (2 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses)
- Питбуллс Санта-Барбара — 6. place, 8 points after 4 games (2 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses)
- Карьяри Пококи, last 5 games: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 losses
- Питбуллс Санта-Барбара, last 5 games: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 losses
- Head-to-head: 4 games, Карьяри Пококи — 0, 3 draws, Питбуллс Санта-Барбара — 1
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Cariari Pococi
DDDLW
1 win · 3 draws · 1 loss
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC
WWWWL
4 wins · 1 loss
Head to head 5
0Cariari Pococi
3Draw
2Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC
- 22 SepPitbulls Santa Barbara FC — Cariari Pococi1:0
- 26 MarCariari Pococi — Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC2:2
- 13 FebPitbulls Santa Barbara FC — Cariari Pococi4:1
- 29 Oct 2025Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC — Cariari Pococi1:1
- 14 Sep 2025Cariari Pococi — Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC0:0
Bookmaker market
25
bookmakers counted
2.00
Average bookmaker line
1.86 — 2.11
Odds range
More predictions
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 1 Sep, 20:04Prediction: Draw — 26% confidence
The head-to-head record points towards a stalemate. In four meetings since September 2025, Cariari Pococi have managed zero wins against Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC, with three draws and one loss. The most recent encounter on 26 March 2026 ended 2:2 at Cariari's ground, and before that three matches produced two draws and one result. The model's 26% draw probability aligns with this pattern of tightly contested encounters.
Both sides arrive with identical recent records: two wins, two draws, one loss across their last five matches. Cariari have collected 8 points from those five games, Pitbulls also 8 points. The difference lies in efficiency — Pitbulls have played one more fixture and sit 6th with 8 points, while Cariari sit 7th with 7 points from three matches. Neither side has lost yet this season, which suggests cautious approaches rather than open attacking.
Cariari Pococi score most of their goals in the middle third, with 33% arriving between 46 and 60 minutes. They also concede heavily before half-time — 27% of their 22 goals conceded come in the 31-45 minute window. This mismatch in timing could mean Cariari start brighter while Pitbulls grow into the game.
The simulation gives Cariari Pococi 1.4 expected goals and Pitbulls 1.0. The three most likely scorelines are 1:1 at 13%, 1:0 at 12%, and 2:1 at 9%. With both-teams-to-score probability at 49% and over 3 goals at 45%, a low-scoring affair with either side edging it narrowly seems most plausible. The slight edge goes to Cariari based on their higher expected goals figure.
A draw stops being the likely outcome if Pitbulls exploit their superior second-half scoring rate. They have netted 38% of their goals between 61 and 75 minutes — a window where Cariari's defensive vulnerability (14% of goals conceded in that period) could be exposed. If Pitbulls maintain their discipline and wait for that phase, a narrow away win becomes more probable than the stalemate the head-to-head suggests.