Cup
Spišská Nová Ves
Podbrezová
Prediction for Spišská Nová Ves — Podbrezová
96%
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Central Ballester vs Yupanqui: match prediction on 30 August 2026
Central Ballester
Yupanqui
Prediction for
Win: Central Ballester
37%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
35%
1
30%
X
35%
2
Average bookmaker line (28)
2.57
1
2.94
X
2.54
2
Odds range
2.40 — 2.70
for outcome 1
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 29 Aug, 21:54- Сентрал Бальестер — 11. place, 28 points after 25 games (7 wins, 7 draws, 11 losses)
- Юпанки — 8. place, 33 points after 25 games (8 wins, 9 draws, 8 losses)
- Сентрал Бальестер, last 5 games: 1 wins, 3 draws, 1 losses
- Юпанки, last 5 games: 1 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 6 games, Сентрал Бальестер — 0, 1 draws, Юпанки — 5
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Central Ballester
LWDDW
2 wins · 2 draws · 1 loss
Yupanqui
WDLLL
1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses
Head to head 10
1Central Ballester
2Draw
7Yupanqui
- 3 MayYupanqui — Central Ballester2:0
- 15 Sep 2025Central Ballester — Yupanqui0:1
- 31 May 2025Yupanqui — Central Ballester4:1
- 21 Sep 2024Central Ballester — Yupanqui0:1
- 20 Apr 2024Yupanqui — Central Ballester3:0
Bookmaker market
28
bookmakers counted
2.57
Average bookmaker line
2.40 — 2.70
Odds range
More predictions
See all
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 29 Aug, 21:54Yupanqui to edge Central Ballester in a tight Primera C encounter, with the away side priced at 2.54 by 28 bookmakers who see little between the two sides. The market's near-even split masks a clear pattern in their history: Yupanqui has won five of six meetings, drawing only once. That record, combined with Central Ballester's inability to close out games, points toward an away victory despite the hosts' home advantage.
Yupanqui won 2:0 in May, 1:0 in September 2025, 4:1 in May 2025, 1:0 in September 2024, and 3:0 in April 2024. The only exception was a 1:1 draw in Primera D back in 2022. Central Ballester has not beaten their opponents in over two years, and the recent results show a consistent pattern of narrow defeats or heavy losses.
Both sides arrive in middling form. Central Ballester managed one win, three draws and one loss in their last five matches, scoring four goals and conceding three. Yupanqui recorded one win, two draws and two losses, with seven goals scored and seven conceded. Neither team is in crisis, but neither is building momentum either. The five-point gap between them in the table suggests neither has urgent motivation.
The model expects both sides to score 1.2 goals on average, with a 27% probability of a draw and 50% chance both teams find the net. The three most likely scorelines are 1:1 at 13%, 1:0 at 11% and 0:1 at 11%. The odds movement has been flat — all three prices unchanged since opening at 03:00 on matchday. The market sees this as a toss-up, but the historical data leans away.
A draw would suit Yupanqui's approach to games. They have conceded 18% of their goals in the final 15 minutes but scored 37% of theirs in that same period, suggesting they can finish matches strongly. If Central Ballester holds firm through the first 75 minutes and the game stays level, the visitors' tendency to score late becomes the decisive factor. The prediction fails if Yupanqui fails to capitalize on their superior finishing rate in the closing stages.