Cup
Spartak Myjava
Galanta
Prediction for Spartak Myjava — Galanta
75%
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Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami: match prediction on 10 September 2026
Chicago Fire
Inter Miami
Prediction for
Win: Chicago Fire
50%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
42%
1
23%
X
35%
2
Average bookmaker line (48)
2.23
1
4.08
X
2.63
2
Odds range
2.12 — 2.35
for outcome 1
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 8 Sep, 01:39- Чикаго Файр — 3. place, 38 points after 22 games (11 wins, 5 draws, 6 losses)
- Интер Майами — 2. place, 43 points after 23 games (12 wins, 7 draws, 4 losses)
- Чикаго Файр, last 5 games: 1 wins, 3 draws, 1 losses
- Интер Майами, last 5 games: 1 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 8 games, Чикаго Файр — 4, 1 draws, Интер Майами — 3
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Chicago Fire
WDLDD
1 win · 3 draws · 1 loss
Inter Miami
LDLWD
1 win · 2 draws · 2 losses
Head to head 11
5Chicago Fire
2Draw
4Inter Miami
- 23 JulInter Miami — Chicago Fire3:2
- 1 Oct 2025Inter Miami — Chicago Fire3:5
- 13 Apr 2025Chicago Fire — Inter Miami0:0
- 1 Sep 2024Chicago Fire — Inter Miami1:4
- 21 Jul 2024Inter Miami — Chicago Fire2:1
Bookmaker market
48
bookmakers counted
2.23
Average bookmaker line
2.12 — 2.35
Odds range
More predictions
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 8 Sep, 01:39Chicago Fire are favourites at 2.23, a position reinforced by the line moving 5.1% against them while Inter Miami's odds dropped 5.6% over the past 23 hours. The model expects Chicago to score 2.1 goals to Inter Miami's 1.6, and the most likely scoreline is 2:1 at 9%. This conclusion rests on Chicago's home advantage, their superior expected goals output, and the fact that Inter Miami have failed to win away from home in this fixture pattern.
The hosts have not lost in five matches, collecting 6 points from 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat. Their recent results read 4:4 with Toronto FC, 2:2 with Seattle, a 1:2 loss to Monterrey, 1:1 with New York Red Bulls and a 2:1 home victory over Orlando City. The pattern shows Chicago averaging two goals scored and two conceded across these outings, with the 4:4 draw against Toronto demonstrating their capacity for open, chaotic football at the end of matches.
Inter Miami sit one point above Chicago in second place with 43 points from 23 games compared to the hosts' 38 from 22. Their last five produced 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats for 5 points, with goals at 2:2 against Atlanta, 7:1 against Montreal, 1:2 loss to Toronto FC, 2:2 with Philadelphia and 1:4 away defeat to Nashville. The 7:1 victory over Montreal stands as an outlier in an otherwise inconsistent run.
Head-to-head records show 8 matches played with Chicago winning 4, Inter Miami 3 and 1 draw.
Chicago Fire score 25% of their goals between 61 and 75 minutes and 27% in the final 15, while conceding 48% of their goals in the 76-90 period. Inter Miami's defensive vulnerability in the closing stages aligns with their tendency to concede 20% of goals in each of the final two segments. The model's 73% probability for three or more goals supports this late-game pattern.
A draw would break this prediction. With 21% probability and Inter Miami having drawn two of their last five, they are capable of grinding out results when chasing a point. The 1:1 scoreline sits at 8% and the 2:2 at 7%, both within reach if Inter Miami adopt a conservative approach and exploit Chicago's defensive fragility in the final quarter of an hour.