Deportivo Táchira vs Puerto Cabello: match prediction on 15 September 2026

Deportivo Táchira to win 1:0.

Deportivo Táchira are third in the table with 24 points from 13 matches, while Puerto Cabello sit eighth on 17 points. The gap between them is seven points, and the home side have shown more consistency over a longer season. Puerto Cabello's unbeaten run in their last five games—two wins and three draws—suggests they are difficult to break down, but they have scored only seven goals in that period. Deportivo Táchira have netted 12 goals in the same span, and the model expects them to find the net 1.4 times compared to Puerto Cabello's 0.8.

Deportivo Táchira have won three of the last six meetings, with Puerto Cabello claiming one victory and two matches ending level. The most recent encounter on 4 April 2026 saw the visitors lose 2:1 away from home. At Deportivo Táchira's stadium, the pattern has been similar: 0:0 in September 2025 and 2:0 in June 2025. Puerto Cabello have struggled to take points here, and the 28% draw probability tracks that history, not the visitors' recent defence.

Deportivo Táchira score 29% of their goals between the 76th and 90th minute, while Puerto Cabello account for 33% in the same period. The home side also concede heavily late on—43% of their goals against come after the 75th minute. Puerto Cabello's defensive vulnerability is different: they have conceded 18% of their goals in the 61-75 minute window. If the match stays tight, the home side's late aggression could prove decisive.

The most probable outcome is 1:0 at 15%, followed by 1:1 at 13% and 0:0 at 11%. BTTS sits at 42%; over 2.5 goals at 38%. Puerto Cabello have conceded just twice in five; a clean sheet is probable, but the home side's attacking output over 13 games (48 goals) suggests they will create enough to break through.