Dinamo Moscow vs Akhmat Grozny: match prediction on 3 September 2026

Akhmat Grozny are the visitors, and given how they run the clock down, a draw is their main threat. Dinamo Moscow have edged into a rhythm after a difficult August. They took nine points from their last five matches, scoring seven goals while conceding six. Their most recent outing saw them defeat Lokomotiv Moscow 1:0 away, proving they can grind out results without dominating possession. Before that, they dismantled Rodina Moskva 3:1 at home. The only blemish was a 0:1 defeat to Krasnodar in the Cup, which they can now use as motivation to advance in the tournament.

Akhmat Grozny arrive with eight points from five games, though their form is less decisive. They drew 3:3 with Krylya Sovetov and 0:0 with Fakel Voronezh, showing they can score but also struggle to close out tight games. Their only loss came 0:1 away at Krasnodar. Historically, the visitors hold an edge in this fixture, having won five of the last 11 encounters. However, the last meeting ended 2:1 to Akhmat in November, while the game before that finished 2:2 at Dinamo.

The timing of goals could decide this cup tie. Dinamo Moscow score 26% of their goals in the final 15 minutes, while Akhmat Grozny concede 24% in the same period. This suggests the match may open up late. Both teams have shown vulnerability in the first half, with Dinamo conceding 35% of their goals between the 31st and 45th minutes and Akhmat allowing 33% in that window.

If the match remains 0:0 until the final quarter, the visitors’ experience in holding leads could force extra time. Akhmat’s top scorer Georgi Melkadze has netted seven goals in the last six months and they tend to attack in the opening 15 minutes.