Andebol 1
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Djerv
Haugesund FK
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 1
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 6 Sep, 17:02Haugesund FK are the clear favourites for this NM Cupen clash at Djerv. The visitors have won four of their last five matches, scoring 13 goals while conceding just six, while Djerv sit on seven points from two wins, a draw and two losses with a 14:13 goal ratio. They also hold the head-to-end advantage from the only recorded meeting, a 3:1 victory in the NM Cupen in May 2022.
Their recent run reads 4-0-1 across five matches, a tally of 12 points that includes three consecutive 2:0 or 3:0 shutouts in the Eliteserien. Djerv’s five games read 4-0-1, including a 1:6 hammering at Sandviken IF. The contrast is stark—Haugesund FK have kept three clean sheets in their last five, Djerv none. They also average 55% possession and 7.0 shots on target per match from their last ten outings. The goal distribution tells a story of late intervention. They score 24% of their 42 goals between 61 and 75 minutes and 21% from 76 to 90, while conceding 27% of their 37 goals in that final quarter. Djerv’s scoring patterns are not broken down by period in the available data. What shows is that the attack tends to fire when matches are being decided, and their defence, while generally solid, has a vulnerability in the closing stages that Djerv could exploit if they stay patient. The firepower is concentrated in a few names. Sory Ibrahim Diarra has 13 goals, E. Andersen 8, and Niklas Sandberg and I. Kamara each 3. Djerv's top scorer is A. Fjeldstad with 2 goals, followed by K. Wojtyszyn and T. Hallstensen on 1 apiece. The visitors have been far more productive, and Diarra alone has scored more than Djerv's entire top three combined. The form gap, the head-to-head result, the superior goal ratio and the attacking depth all point in one direction. The 65% confidence figure reflects that Haugesund have been consistent without being invincible—they lost 2:3 away to Kongsvinger IL in their most recent outing. A draw suits Djerv, who could sit deep and look to catch Haugesund on the counter in the final 15 minutes when both sides are most vulnerable, but the visitors' ability to score late and their overall superiority make a home win unlikely.