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Djurgårdens IF vs GAIS: match prediction on 14 September 2026

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Djurgårdens IF GAIS

Prediction for

Win: Djurgårdens IF

48%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

48% 1
26% X
26% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 12 Sep, 18:13

Djurgården are 48% to win. The hosts are on a five-match winning streak, scoring 17 goals in that span while conceding just one. That momentum carries into the fixture against GAIS, who sit nine points adrift in the table.

GAIS have pulled seven points from their last five matches, recording two wins, one draw, and two losses. They have netted 11 goals and let in three during that period, but the defeats against Hammarby and Malmö point to struggles against top-tier sides. They cannot run with DIF.

Djurgården are second with 38 points after 20 games, while GAIS occupy ninth place with 27 points. DIF chase the top; GAIS need points to survive.

They have split the last five meetings, 2-2-1, DIF winning 1-0 in April 2026.

The model expects Djurgården to score 1.5 goals and GAIS 1. xG stands at 1.5 for DIF, 1 for GAIS. The draw probability is 26%, and the most probable scoreline is 1:0 at 13%. BTTS probability is 48%, reflecting GAIS' ability to find the net despite their defensive frailties.

Djurgården score 30% of their goals in the final 15 minutes; GAIS must not park the bus.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 12 Sep, 18:13
  • Юргорден — 2. place, 38 points after 20 games (12 wins, 2 draws, 6 losses)
  • ГАИС — 9. place, 27 points after 20 games (7 wins, 6 draws, 7 losses)
  • Юргорден, last 5 games: 5 wins, 0 losses
  • ГАИС, last 5 games: 2 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses
  • Head-to-head: 5 games, Юргорден — 2, 1 draws, ГАИС — 2

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Djurgårdens IF WWWWW 5 wins
GAIS LLWWD 2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses

Head to head 5

2Djurgårdens IF 1Draw 2GAIS
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

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