Andebol 1
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Fulham
Crystal Palace
Prediction for
Win: Fulham
47%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Average bookmaker line (48)
Odds range
2.05 — 2.23
for outcome 1
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 12
Bookmaker market
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 3 Sep, 15:09Match Preview
Fulham are favourites against Crystal Palace at 2.29, a price that has held firm since the opening snapshot on 04.09.2026. Both sides enter the weekend winless after two Premier League matches, sitting on zero points in 16th and 18th place respectively. The market assigns a 41% chance to the hosts, compared to 30% for the visitors, reflecting a slight edge in home form despite the shared lack of points.
A Shared Struggle
The table tells a similar story of struggle, but the manner of defeat differs. Crystal Palace have succumbed to heavier blows, losing 1:4 at home to Manchester City and 0:2 away to Everton. Fulham’s setbacks were tighter, a 0:1 loss to Sunderland and a 2:3 defeat to Chelsea. The visitors’ defensive record is more concerning, having conceded 12 goals in five matches compared to Fulham’s six.
Recent History
History offers little comfort to either side in the short term, though the recent encounter favours the hosts.
Model Predictions
The model anticipates a tight affair, projecting 1.4 goals for Fulham and 1.0 for Crystal Palace. The most probable outcomes are a 1:0 win for the hosts or a 1:1 draw, each carrying a 13% probability. While Fulham dominate possession at 59% against Palace’s 46%, the expected goals metric shows parity at 1.44 for both sides, hinting that the hosts’ control may not translate directly into chances.
The Turning Point
A draw suits the visitors, particularly given their tendency to concede heavily in the first half. Crystal Palace have dropped 31% of their goals between the 31st and 45th minutes, a window where Fulham also find their rhythm, scoring 22% of their total. If Palace can weather that storm and exploit Fulham’s late surge—where the hosts score 28% of their goals—the visitors could snatch a point.
Final Word
The match hinges on whether Fulham can convert their possession into goals before Palace’s defence crumbles under the pressure of the opening hour.