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Gangwon FC vs Bucheon FC 1995: match prediction on 9 October 2026
Gangwon FC
Bucheon FC 1995
Prediction for
Win: Gangwon FC
50%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
50%
1
31%
X
19%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 8 Oct, 08:45- Гангвон — 5. place, 43 points after 30 games (10 wins, 13 draws, 7 losses)
- Бучхон 1995 — 11. place, 32 points after 30 games (7 wins, 11 draws, 12 losses)
- Гангвон, last 5 games: 0 wins, 4 draws, 1 losses
- Бучхон 1995, last 5 games: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses
- Head-to-head: 2 games, Гангвон — 0, 1 draws, Бучхон 1995 — 1
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Gangwon FC
DDDLD
4 draws · 1 loss
Bucheon FC 1995
DLLDL
2 draws · 3 losses
Head to head 2
0Gangwon FC
1Draw
1Bucheon FC 1995
All head-to-head
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 8 Oct, 08:45Gangwon FC to edge a tight encounter against Bucheon FC 1995 on 9 October, with the model's preferred 1:0 outcome at 15% probability forming the basis of this assessment.
The hosts have not found the back of the net in four consecutive matches, with their last five yielding just 3 goals across 4 draws and 1 loss against Incheon United, Jeju United FC, Kitchee, Gimcheon Sangmu FC and Jeonbuk Motors. Their attacking output has dried up, yet they remain unbeaten in 4 of those 5 fixtures.
Bucheon FC 1995 have fared worse on the road, losing 3 of their last 5 while managing only 2 draws. Their away record shows 4 goals scored against 12 conceded, with heavy defeats at the hands of Gimcheon Sangmu FC (0:2), Incheon United (1:2) and Daejeon Hana Citizen (0:5) punctuating a single draw against FC Anyang.
The head-to-head record offers little comfort for either side. Gangwon FC lost 0:3 at home earlier this season on 1 August, while the reverse fixture at Bucheon's ground ended 0:0 in March. Two matches, one victory apiece, with no clear pattern emerging.
League positions tell a different story. Gangwon FC sit 5th with 43 points from 30 matches, while Bucheon languish 11th with 32 points. That 11-point gap suggests Gangwon remain in mid-table contention while Bucheon face relegation concerns.
The model expects Gangwon FC to score 1.3 goals compared to Bucheon's 0.7, with a 32% chance of a draw and 40% probability both teams find the net. Three or more goals are expected in 33% of simulations.
This conclusion stops holding if Bucheon replicate their 3-0 away victory from August, or if Gangwon FC's winless run extends beyond five matches without a breakthrough.