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Gimnasia Jujuy vs San Martín de Tucumán: match prediction on 28 September 2026

Primera Nacional Estadio 23 de Agosto San Salvador de Jujuy Miss Match page
Gimnasia Jujuy San Martín de Tucumán

Prediction for

Win: Gimnasia Jujuy

54%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

44% 1
30% X
27% 2

Average bookmaker line (45)

2.09 1
3.09 X
3.42 2

Odds range

2.00 — 2.15

for outcome 1

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 27 Sep, 01:15

Gimnasia Jujuy claims victory at home

Gimnasia Jujuy defeated San Martín de Tucumán in the Primera Nacional on 28 September 2026. Gimnasia Jujuy moved to third with 53 points, while San Martín de Tucumán remained in 11th position on 39 points after 30 matches. Odds for a home win remained flat at 2.09 from the opening snapshot of 27 September.

Form and recent history

Gimnasia Jujuy entered the fixture unbeaten in their last five matches, securing two wins and three draws to collect nine points. Their recent results included a 2:1 victory over Atletico de Rafaela at home and a 2:1 win away at Almagro. San Martín de Tucumán had gathered seven points in the same window, recording two victories, one draw, and two losses, including a 4:2 defeat away at Atletico Rafaela.

Performance metrics

Statistical averages over the last ten matches showed a tight contest. San Martín de Tucumán held a marginal edge in possession at 54 per cent compared to Gimnasia Jujuy’s 53 per cent. The visitors also logged more attacks, averaging 133.3 against 117.6 for the hosts.

Scoring patterns

Both sides scored late. Gimnasia Jujuy scored 30 per cent of their 50 goals in the final 15 minutes of matches, while San Martín de Tucumán registered 33 per cent of their 36 goals in the same period. Odds pointed to a tight game. The pre-match odds suggested a 29 per cent probability for a draw.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 27 Sep, 01:15
  • Химнасия Хухуй — 3. place, 53 points after 30 games (15 wins, 8 draws, 7 losses)
  • Сан-Мартин де Тукуман — 11. place, 39 points after 30 games (9 wins, 12 draws, 9 losses)
  • Химнасия Хухуй, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses
  • Сан-Мартин де Тукуман, last 5 games: 2 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses
  • Head-to-head: 4 games, Химнасия Хухуй — 1, 1 draws, Сан-Мартин де Тукуман — 2

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Gimnasia Jujuy DWWDD 2 wins · 3 draws
San Martín de Tucumán DLWLD 1 win · 2 draws · 2 losses

Head to head 4

1Gimnasia Jujuy 1Draw 2San Martín de Tucumán
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

45 bookmakers counted
2.09 Average bookmaker line
2.00 — 2.15 Odds range

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+