Andebol 1
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Gol Gohar vs Aluminium Arak: match prediction on 1 September 2026
Gol Gohar
Aluminium Arak
Prediction for
Win: Gol Gohar
44%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
46%
1
32%
X
22%
2
Average bookmaker line (36)
1.96
1
2.85
X
4.11
2
Odds range
1.89 — 2.05
for outcome 1
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 30 Aug, 16:33- Гол-Гохар — 5. place, 7 points after 4 games (2 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses)
- Алюминий Арак — 4. place, 8 points after 4 games (2 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses)
- Гол-Гохар, last 5 games: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 losses
- Алюминий Арак, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses
- Head-to-head: 8 games, Гол-Гохар — 2, 4 draws, Алюминий Арак — 2
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Gol Gohar
WLLLW
2 wins · 3 losses
Aluminium Arak
DWDWD
2 wins · 3 draws
Head to head 13
5Gol Gohar
6Draw
2Aluminium Arak
- 18 JanAluminium Arak — Gol Gohar1:2
- 18 Aug 2025Gol Gohar — Aluminium Arak1:0
- 11 Apr 2025Gol Gohar — Aluminium Arak0:0
- 2 Dec 2024Aluminium Arak — Gol Gohar0:0
- 24 May 2024Gol Gohar — Aluminium Arak2:3
Bookmaker market
36
bookmakers counted
1.96
Average bookmaker line
1.89 — 2.05
Odds range
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 30 Aug, 16:33A tight contest looms, with the prediction pointing toward Gol Gohar avoiding defeat at 60% confidence
The prediction points toward a tight affair with Gol Gohar averaging 1.1 goals and Aluminium Arak 0.7 at this venue, and the numbers suggest a home side that will not lose. A draw suits both sides equally — the visitors have not lost in five matches and are content to grind results, while the hosts have won two and drawn twice at home this season. The outcome holds as long as Aluminium Arak do not find a way to exploit the first fifteen minutes, where they have conceded 25% of their goals this season.
Gol Gohar sit fifth on seven points from four games, having picked up two wins, a draw and a defeat. Their last outing saw a 2-0 away loss to Sepahan FC, but before that they beat Chadormalu SC 3-0 at home and drew with Paykan 0-0 on the road. They have scored four goals and conceded two across those five matches.
Aluminium Arak are one place above them on eight points, undefeated in four league games with two victories and two draws. Their most recent result was a 2-2 home draw against Kheybar Khorramabad, but they have won away at Shams Azar Qazvin 2-1 and Esteghlal Khuzestan 2-0. They have scored seven goals and conceded four in five matches, with three of those ending in stalemates.
The head-to-head record over the past three years tells a balanced story. Eight meetings have produced two wins each and four draws. The most recent encounter ended 1-2 to Gol Gohar in January 2026.
The model gives a 33% probability for a draw and 33% for both teams to score. The three most likely scorelines are 1-0 at 18%, 0-0 at 17% and 1-1 at 13%. Gol Gohar have conceded 44% of their goals in the 31-45 minute window and 33% after the 76th minute, while Aluminium Arak have let in half their goals after the 76th minute. That late vulnerability could prove decisive if the match remains level.
If Aluminium Arak can absorb pressure and hit on the counter in the final quarter of an hour, they could take points away from home. This changes if they score early, when they have conceded a quarter of their goals this season.