Grafičar vs Teleoptik: match prediction on 28 September 2026

Grafičar to win at 1.880, with the model pointing to a 1:0 scoreline. The bookmakers have not moved from their opening prices across 28 firms, suggesting little has changed in the market's view.

Bottom of the table

Both sides sit on seven points after ten matches, Grafičar in fifteenth and Teleoptik in sixteenth. The home side have scored 25 goals and conceded 28, while Teleoptik have managed 11 goals for and 19 against. That goal difference tells its own story — Grafičar attack more freely but also leave themselves exposed.

Recent results

Grafičar's last five matches produced one win and four defeats, with their 3:0 victory over Ofk Bor 1919 the only bright spot. They lost 0:1 away at Metalac GM on 21 September and dropped three points in each of their last two home games. Teleoptik have not won in five — two draws and three losses, including 1:2 defeats at home to Borac Cacak and FK Vozdovac.

What the numbers say

The model expects Grafičar to score 1.4 goals and Teleoptik 1.0. The most likely outcome is 1:1 at 14 per cent, followed by 1:0 at 11 per cent. A draw carries 30 per cent probability, while both teams scoring sits at 50 per cent. The market agrees Grafičar are favourites — their 48 per cent win probability (margin removed) exceeds the model's own estimate, though the difference is marginal.

Grafičar have been most dangerous in the final 15 minutes, scoring 32 per cent of their goals between 76 and 90 minutes. Teleoptik have concentrated their attack in the 46 to 60 minute period, accounting for 36 per cent of their goals. Both sides have conceded heavily in the opening half — Grafičar 44 per cent of their goals conceded before 30 minutes, Teleoptik 57 per cent before 45 minutes.

When this changes

A draw suits Teleoptik — they have drawn in four of ten matches and tend to sit deeper away from home. If the visitors can absorb pressure and hit on the counter, the 1:1 outcome becomes more likely. The model does not account for injuries or suspensions, so a key absentee in either side would shift the balance. A red card in the opening 20 minutes would also alter the expected pattern, with Grafičar's late-game strength becoming less relevant if they are forced to chase the game.