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Skanderborg AGF
Prediction for Montpellier — Skanderborg AGF
54%
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Grêmio Women vs São Paulo Women: match prediction on 29 August 2026
Grêmio Women
São Paulo Women
Prediction for
Win: São Paulo Women
40%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
32%
1
29%
X
39%
2
Average bookmaker line (39)
2.83
1
3.06
X
2.31
2
Odds range
2.15 — 2.40
for outcome 2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 28 Aug, 11:59- Гремио (жен.) — 8. place, 27 points after 17 games (8 wins, 3 draws, 6 losses)
- Сан-Паулу Женщины — 1. place, 41 points after 17 games (13 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses)
- Гремио (жен.), last 5 games: 3 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses
- Сан-Паулу Женщины, last 5 games: 5 wins, 0 losses
- Head-to-head: 6 games, Гремио (жен.) — 0, 1 draws, Сан-Паулу Женщины — 5
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Grêmio Women
WLWDL
2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses
São Paulo Women
DWWWW
4 wins · 1 draw
Head to head 10
0Grêmio Women
3Draw
7São Paulo Women
- 5 SepSão Paulo Women — Grêmio Women2:0
- 20 AprSão Paulo Women — Grêmio Women3:1
- 19 Apr 2025Grêmio Women — São Paulo Women1:2
- 29 Aug 2024São Paulo Women — Grêmio Women0:0
- 26 Aug 2024Grêmio Women — São Paulo Women1:2
Bookmaker market
39
bookmakers counted
2.31
Average bookmaker line
2.15 — 2.40
Odds range
More predictions
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 28 Aug, 11:59São Paulo Women win. The gap in quality between first and eighth place shows in their record: 13 victories in 17 matches against Grêmio's eight, and a five-match winning streak that has seen them score 12 goals while conceding just three. São Paulo's expected goals are 1.2 to Grêmio's 1, and the head-to-head history backs that up — São Paulo have won five of the last six meetings between these sides.
São Paulo Women sit 14 points clear at the top of the Brasileiro Women table. Their record of 13 wins, two draws and two losses tells a simple story of consistency. Grêmio Women, meanwhile, are 27 points from the top with eight wins, three draws and six defeats. São Paulo attack with purpose, Grêmio defend and look for counter opportunities.
Recent form
Grêmio's results include a 2-2 draw away at Flamengo and a 2-0 home win over Cruzeiro. São Paulo's run features a 5-1 victory at Botafogo and a 3-1 away win against Vitória BA. São Paulo are averaging 2.4 goals per game in their last five, while Grêmio average 1.2.
History
The only exception was a 0-0 draw at São Paulo in August 2024. Grêmio have not beaten São Paulo in any of these encounters.
The match is expected to be low-scoring — Grêmio 1 goal, São Paulo 1.2 goals. A draw carries 29% probability, both teams scoring 44%, and three or more goals 37%. The most likely scores are 1-1 at 13%, 0-1 at 13%, and 1-0 at 11%. São Paulo's away record suggests they can secure a narrow victory without dominating possession, which fits with their 53% average possession figure compared to Grêmio's 51%.
Grêmio can change the dynamic if they control the game early. A goal in the first 20 minutes would change their approach from defensive to attacking, and São Paulo's recent away performances show they can be vulnerable when chasing games. If the match stays goalless until the 60th minute, Grêmio's confidence would grow while São Paulo's patience might wear thin.