Andebol 1
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Grindavik vs HK Kópavogur: match prediction on 29 August 2026
Grindavik
HK Kópavogur
Prediction for
Win: HK Kópavogur
50%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
34%
1
24%
X
42%
2
Average bookmaker line (37)
2.64
1
3.81
X
2.12
2
Odds range
2.00 — 2.20
for outcome 2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 27 Aug, 17:23- Гриндавик идёт 10-м: 21 очков после 20 матчей (4 побед, 9 ничьих, 7 поражений)
- ХК Копавогур идёт 4-м: 35 очков после 20 матчей (11 побед, 2 ничьих, 7 поражений)
- Последние 5 матчей Гриндавик: 2 побед, 1 ничьих, 2 поражений
- Последние 5 матчей ХК Копавогур: 2 побед, 1 ничьих, 2 поражений
- Очные встречи за последние годы: сыграно 5, побед Гриндавик — 2, ничьих 2, побед ХК Копавогур — 1
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Grindavik
WDLWD
2 wins · 2 draws · 1 loss
HK Kópavogur
DWLWL
2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses
Head to head 7
2Grindavik
2Draw
3HK Kópavogur
- 21 JunHK Kópavogur — Grindavik2:2
- 17 Aug 2025HK Kópavogur — Grindavik3:3
- 9 Jun 2025Grindavik — HK Kópavogur2:1
- 11 Feb 2023HK Kópavogur — Grindavik4:0
- 10 Sep 2022Grindavik — HK Kópavogur4:3
Bookmaker market
37
bookmakers counted
2.12
Average bookmaker line
2.00 — 2.20
Odds range
More predictions
All match predictions
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 27 Aug, 17:23HK Kópavogur are favourites but Grindavik have nothing to lose. The visitors sit fourth with 35 points after 20 matches, while Grindavik languish in tenth on 21 points. Yet both sides collected exactly 7 points from their last 5 games — 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses each. The gap in the table is real, but the momentum has levelled out.
Head-to-head tells a different story
Grindavik have actually dominated this fixture recently. In five meetings since 2022, they won twice, drew twice, and lost once. The most recent encounter ended 2:2 in June, and before that a 3:3 match in August 2025. Grindavik's home advantage could matter — they beat HK HK Kópavogur 2:1 in June 2025 and 4:3 in September 2022. The visitors' away record against their opponents is less convincing.
Grindavik's attacking pattern is unusual. Half their goals (50%) come in the final 15 minutes of matches, while they score nothing between 31-45 minutes. HK HK Kópavogur distribute their 25 goals more evenly, with 20% coming in the 46-60 minute period. This suggests Grindavik may struggle early but become dangerous as the match progresses.
The suspension threat
There is one concrete team news item available. T. Thorvarsson has accumulated 3 yellow cards over the last six months and sits one booking away from suspension. If he picks up a caution, HK HK Kópavogur will be without a regular contributor. The model already expects HK Kópavogur to score 1.9 goals compared to Grindavik's 1.4, but that expectation could shift significantly if their attacking midfielder is unavailable.
The model sees 22% probability for a draw, 65% for both teams to score, and 66% for three or more goals. The most likely scores are 1:1 (10%), 1:2 (9%), and 2:1 (7%). I back HK HK Kópavogur to edge this — a narrow away victory where they score first and Grindavik cannot find an equaliser.