Hapoel Acre vs Bnei Yehuda: match prediction on 31 August 2026

Bnei Yehuda are the clear favourites against a Hapoel Acre side that has lost both opening matches of the Liga Leumit campaign. The visitors sit top of the table with 6 points from 2 games, while their hosts have 0 and are bottom. The model gives Bnei Yehuda a 1.5 expected goals to Acre's 1, and the most likely scorelines are 1:1 at 12%, 0:1 at 12%, and 1:2 at 9%. Bnei Yehuda are expected to win, but the prediction breaks if Hapoel hold a draw — that outcome sits at 26%.

There is a stark contrast in current form. Bnei Yehuda have won both league games so far, beating Hapoel Kfar Shalem 3:1 at home and Maccabi Bnei Raina 4:1 away. Their last 5 matches read 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 12 goals scored and 5 conceded. Hapoel Acre's recent record is 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses in their last 5, scoring just 2 goals while conceding 9. Their two league defeats came 0:2 at home to Maccabi Kiryat Gat and 0:4 away at Kafr Qasim. Bnei Yehuda are 1st, Hapoel Acre are 16th.

Head-to-head history does not help Hapoel Acre here. In 9 meetings over recent years, Hapoel have won 6, drawn 1, and lost 2. The pattern has shifted. Bnei Yehuda won 2:1 in February 2026 and 1:3 in August 2024, while Hapoel's victories came 2:0 in October 2025 and 2:1 in February 2024. The most recent encounter was a 2:1 victory for Bnei Yehuda at their own ground.

Hapoel Acre concede heavily in the 61-75 minute window, with 34% of their goals coming in that period. Bnei Yehuda, meanwhile, score 24% of their goals in the final 15 minutes and 24% between 46-60 minutes. If Hapoel's defensive fragility in the second half holds, Bnei Yehuda could extend a lead late on. The model's 45% probability for 3 or more goals suggests an open game, while 49% for both teams to score means Hapoel may find the net even in defeat.

A 0:0 or 1:1 draw would overturn the expected outcome, and Hapoel's 26% chance of a stalemate is not negligible. A side coming off two losses might dig in defensively. But based on form, position, and the numbers, Bnei Yehuda are the side to back for victory.