Andebol 1
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Hapoel Kfar Shalem vs Kiryat Yam SC: match prediction on 30 August 2026
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Kiryat Yam SC
Prediction for
Win: Kiryat Yam SC
41%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
36%
1
24%
X
41%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 29 Aug, 06:23- Хапоэль Кафар-Шалем — 10. place, 3 points after 2 games (1 wins, 1 losses)
- Кирьят Ям — 5. place, 3 points after 2 games (1 wins, 1 losses)
- Хапоэль Кафар-Шалем, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Кирьят Ям, last 5 games: 2 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 3 games, Хапоэль Кафар-Шалем — 1, Кирьят Ям — 2
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
WLWLD
2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses
Kiryat Yam SC
WLLWL
2 wins · 3 losses
Head to head 3
1Hapoel Kfar Shalem
0Draw
2Kiryat Yam SC
- 20 MayKiryat Yam SC — Hapoel Kfar Shalem2:1
- 2 FebHapoel Kfar Shalem — Kiryat Yam SC1:0
- 28 Sep 2025Kiryat Yam SC — Hapoel Kfar Shalem2:0
Bookmaker market
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 29 Aug, 06:23Kiryat Yam SC hold the edge in recent meetings and carry a slight advantage in expected goals. Hapoel Kfar Shalem sit 10th after two rounds, Kiryat Yam 5th, and the head-to-head record tells a different story than the table.
Head-to-head
Kiryat Yam SC lead 2-1 in the last three meetings. They won 2-1 at home in May and again 2-0 in September 2025. Hapoel Kfar Shalem managed a 1-0 victory at home in February 2025, but the visitors have taken two of the last three encounters. That pattern matters when both sides arrive with different positions after two matches.
Form and fragility
Hapoel Kfar Shalem have won two and lost three in their last five, scoring eight and conceding 12. Their defence has leaked goals, particularly in the final 15 minutes where they have conceded 37% of their total. Kiryat Yam SC have won two, drawn one, and lost two in the same period. They have conceded only six goals across those five games, with a sharper defensive record overall.
Statistical outlook
The expected goals are 1.6 for Kiryat Yam SC and 1.5 for Hapoel Kfar Shalem. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 at 11%, 1-2 at 9%, and 2-1 at 8%. Both teams to score sits at 62%, while a draw is priced at 24%. The narrow margin between the expected goals points to a close contest, but Kiryat Yam's defensive solidity gives them the slight upper hand.
When the pick fails
A draw suits Hapoel Kfar Shalem if they can absorb pressure and hit on the counter. Their recent record shows they can score, but they have also lost three of five. If Kiryat Yam SC fail to break down a compact defence and settle for a point, the prediction loses its footing. The margin is thin enough that a single moment of quality from either side could shift the result.