Hull City U21 vs Wigan Athletic U21: match prediction on 6 October 2026

Hull City U21 are predicted to lose.

The visitors arrive with nine points from seven matches at sixth, while the hosts sit sixteenth with just one point after four games. Hull have lost three of their last four and failed to win any of the four they've played. Wigan have won twice, drawn three times and lost twice.

Recent form tells the story clearly. Hull City U21 have not won in five matches, taking just two points from ten available with six goals scored and twelve conceded. Their last outing ended 1:2 at home against Bolton. Wigan Athletic U21 have won two and drawn two of their last five, scoring thirteen and conceding thirteen. Their most recent match was a 2:1 victory over Huddersfield at home on 29 September.

The head-to-head record gives Wigan an advantage. The most recent fixture on 29 September ended 2:0 to Wigan in their favour.

The model expects 2.4 goals for Hull and 1.9 for Wigan, with a 21% chance of a draw and 78% that both teams score. The three most likely scorelines are 2:1, 2:2 and 1:1, each at 7%. Hull score heavily in the final fifteen minutes—28% of their goals come there—but also concede 22% in that period. Wigan are most dangerous between 46 and 60 minutes, accounting for 26% of their goals.

A Hull victory requires them to find a winning formula they have not discovered in four matches. At 16th with no wins, the pressure is mounting. Wigan at sixth have the points cushion to play with freedom.

If Hull's late-game threat proves decisive, the prediction changes. They score 28% of their goals after 75 minutes, and if Wigan's defensive vulnerability in the final quarter—24% of goals conceded in that period—materialises, the hosts could snatch a result. A draw also suits Wigan given their tendency to run the clock down, and that is the main threat to the away win.