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Třinec vs Baník Ostrava II: match prediction on 29 August 2026

FNL Rudolf Labaj Stadium Třinec Miss Match page
Třinec Baník Ostrava II

Prediction for

Win: Třinec

38%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

38% 1
29% X
33% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 29 Aug, 16:50

Baník Ostrava II stun Třinec with four-goal performance

Baník Ostrava II secured a decisive victory away from home, defeating Třinec 4-1 in the FNL on 29 August 2026. The visitors had previously lost the last competitive meeting between the sides in November 2024. While Třinec entered the fixture on the back of two wins and two draws in their previous five games, they failed to contain Baník Ostrava II’s attack, which capitalised on a defensive performance that allowed significant space.

Baník Ostrava II demonstrated their ability to strike at various stages of the match, with 25 per cent of their seasonal goals coming in the final 15 minutes and another 25 per cent in the 46-60 minute block. Třinec struggled to find rhythm in the second half, recording zero goals between minutes 46 and 60 and zero in the closing 15 minutes of the game. The home side’s goal distribution was concentrated in the opening 45 minutes, accounting for 90 per cent of their total seasonal output in that period.

Baník Ostrava II averaged 98.6 attacks per game over their last ten matches compared to Třinec’s 74.4. The visitors also recorded higher shots on target (5.7) and off target (10.2) averages. Třinec’s defensive vulnerabilities were evident, as their average goals conceded per game over the last ten matches showed a higher vulnerability in the first 30 minutes, where 43 per cent of their seasonal goals conceded were allowed.

Třinec dropped to a record of two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five fixtures, accumulating eight points. Baník Ostrava II moved to one win, one draw, and three losses, earning four points from the same span. The defeat extended Třinec’s winless run against Baník Ostrava II in recent history, as they had not won in the single competitive encounter recorded prior to this match.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 29 Aug, 16:50
  • Тршинец, last 5 games: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 losses
  • Банік Острава II, last 5 games: 1 wins, 1 draws, 3 losses
  • Head-to-head: 1 games, Тршинец — 0, Банік Острава II — 1

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Třinec DWLLW 2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses
Baník Ostrava II WLWDW 3 wins · 1 draw · 1 loss

Head to head 1

0Třinec 0Draw 1Baník Ostrava II
All head-to-head

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+