Andebol 1
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
Read more
Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Ironi Tiberias: match prediction on 29 August 2026
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
Ironi Tiberias
Prediction for
Win: Ironi Kiryat Shmona
47%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
47%
1
24%
X
29%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 28 Aug, 12:52- Ирони Кирьят-Шмона — 11. place, 0 points after 1 games (0 wins, 1 losses)
- Ирони Тивериада — 14. place, -2 points after 1 games (1 wins, 0 losses)
- Ирони Кирьят-Шмона, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Ирони Тивериада, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
- Head-to-head: 12 games, Ирони Кирьят-Шмона — 5, 2 draws, Ирони Тивериада — 5
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
WLLWL
2 wins · 3 losses
Ironi Tiberias
LLWLW
2 wins · 3 losses
Head to head 12
5Ironi Kiryat Shmona
2Draw
5Ironi Tiberias
- 1 AugIroni Tiberias — Ironi Kiryat Shmona0:1
- 26 AprIroni Tiberias — Ironi Kiryat Shmona2:0
- 14 FebIroni Kiryat Shmona — Ironi Tiberias2:2
- 8 Nov 2025Ironi Tiberias — Ironi Kiryat Shmona2:3
- 10 Aug 2025Ironi Kiryat Shmona — Ironi Tiberias2:1
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
More predictions
All match predictions
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 28 Aug, 12:52Kiryat Shmona edge at home after cup victory
I'm backing Ironi Kiryat Shmona to win this Ligat Ha'Al fixture at home. They took a 1:0 victory over Tiberias in their Toto Cup meeting on 1 August, and the home advantage should tilt things their way again. The model puts Kiryat Shmona at 1.7 expected goals against Tiberias's 1.3, and the probable scores list 1:0 and 2:1 as the two most likely outcomes after a draw.
Kiryat Shmona sit 11th with zero points from one match, while Tiberias are 14th on minus two points. Their last five games tell a different story. Kiryat Shmona won three and lost two, scoring seven and conceding five. Tiberias managed just one win from five, with four defeats and a goal difference of 4:11. The away side's defensive record is the concern—11 goals conceded in five matches shows they're vulnerable.
The head-to-head is evenly matched at five wins apiece from 12 meetings, with two draws. But the most recent encounter matters here. Kiryat Shmona won 1:0 away from Tiberias's ground in the Toto Cup, proving they can handle this opposition. Before that, Tiberias won 2:0 at home in April. The pattern suggests home advantage in these fixtures carries weight.
Kiryat Shmona's scoring patterns show they're dangerous in the opening 15 minutes and between 61 and 75 minutes, accounting for 20% and 25% of their 20 goals respectively. Tiberias struggle late—35% of their conceded goals come in the final 15 minutes. The model's 59% probability for both teams to score aligns with Kiryat Shmona's attacking intent and Tiberias's defensive frailties.
This prediction falls apart if Tiberias find a way to control possession. They average 44% compared to Kiryat Shmona's 51%, and with Tiberias creating more big chances per game (2.43 versus 1.4), they're capable of exploiting space. A draw suits the away side's tendency to drag games out, and if they survive the opening exchanges, the minus-two points situation gives them nothing to lose.