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Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Johvi Phoenix vs Tallinna Kalev II: match prediction on 14 September 2026
Johvi Phoenix
Tallinna Kalev II
Prediction for
Win: Tallinna Kalev II
44%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
36%
1
21%
X
44%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 12 Sep, 16:13- Таллинна Калев II — 9. place, 26 points after 28 games (7 wins, 5 draws, 16 losses)
- Йыхви Феникс, last 5 games: 2 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses
- Таллинна Калев II, last 5 games: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 losses
- Head-to-head: 3 games, Йыхви Феникс — 2, Таллинна Калев II — 1
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Johvi Phoenix
DWLLW
2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses
Tallinna Kalev II
DDWLW
2 wins · 2 draws · 1 loss
Head to head 3
2Johvi Phoenix
0Draw
1Tallinna Kalev II
- 9 AugTallinna Kalev II — Johvi Phoenix3:1
- 16 MayTallinna Kalev II — Johvi Phoenix1:2
- 14 MarJohvi Phoenix — Tallinna Kalev II2:1
Bookmaker market
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 12 Sep, 16:13Tallinna Kalev II are tipped to win. The visitors have taken four points from the last two meetings and their model projection gives them a slight edge at 2.1 expected goals against Johvi Phoenix's 1.9.
The visitors have not lost here since March. Tallinna Kalev II won 3:1 on 9 August and 1:2 on 16 May, while Johvi Phoenix managed only one victory in the three meetings — a 2:1 home win in March. That recent record matters more than the overall balance.
Johvi collect seven points from five, while Kalev II hold ninth with 26 from 28.
Their last five games brought two wins, two draws and one defeat, eight points and a goal difference of minus three.
Two Johvi players face suspension — S. Tenno and K. Kohv, both with one red card each. Kohv received his dismissal on 29 August against Tartu Kalev. Tallinna Kalev II have no red-card suspensions to report.
The model gives 74% probability that both teams score and 76% for three or more goals. The most likely scoreline is 1:2 at 8%, followed by 1:1 and 2:2 at 7% each.
The model breaks down if Johvi Phoenix score early and control the tempo.