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Karbala vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya: match prediction on 7 September 2026

Iraqi League Karbala International Stadium Karbala Hit Match page
Karbala Al Quwa Al Jawiya

Prediction for

Win: Al Quwa Al Jawiya

56%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

19% 1
25% X
56% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 5 Sep, 18:02

Karbala (15th, five points) host Al Quwa Al Jawiya (16th, four points). The visitors arrived with a record of zero wins from five matches, having drawn four and lost once, while the hosts had secured one victory alongside two draws and two defeats.

The fixture carries a heavy weight of history for the home side. In the last six meetings between these clubs, Karbala has recorded zero wins. Al Quwa Al Jawiya has won four of those encounters, with two losses for the hosts. The most recent result in the series was a 4-1 victory for Al Quwa Al Jawiya at the Karbala stadium in May 2025.

Al Quwa Al Jawiya averaged 105 attacks per game and 3.2 shots on target, significantly more than Karbala’s 76.8 attacks and 2.2 shots on target. Al Quwa Al Jawiya also maintained 50 per cent possession against Karbala’s 47 per cent. However, the data highlights a concerning trend for Karbala, who have scored all five of their recent goals in the final 15 minutes of their last five matches.

Disciplinary issues loomed large for the visitors. Al Quwa Al Jawiya had three players, Ruslan Hanoon, Aminu Umar, and Mohannad Abu Taha, who had received red cards in the last three weeks. The absence or suspension of these key figures, particularly top scorer M. Djavad who has eight goals in the last six months, will lack firepower. Karbala had no players one booking away from suspension.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 5 Sep, 18:02
  • Кербела — 14. place, 5 points after 5 games (1 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses)
  • Аль-Кувва аль-Джауийя — 15. place, 4 points after 5 games (0 wins, 4 draws, 1 losses)
  • Кербела, last 5 games: 1 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses
  • Аль-Кувва аль-Джауийя, last 5 games: 0 wins, 4 draws, 1 losses
  • Head-to-head: 6 games, Кербела — 0, Аль-Кувва аль-Джауийя — 6

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Karbala DLLWL 1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses
Al Quwa Al Jawiya DDLWL 1 win · 2 draws · 2 losses

Head to head 6

0Karbala 0Draw 6Al Quwa Al Jawiya
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+