Champions League
Montpellier
Skanderborg AGF
Prediction for Montpellier — Skanderborg AGF
54%
Read more
Khan Tengri vs Sport Academy Kairat: match prediction on 18 September 2026
Khan Tengri
Sport Academy Kairat
Prediction for
Win: Sport Academy Kairat
66%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
8%
1
14%
X
78%
2
Average bookmaker line (3)
11.67
1
6.55
X
1.16
2
Odds range
1.13 — 1.18
for outcome 2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 17 Sep, 08:28- Хан Тенгри — 10. place, 25 points after 22 games (7 wins, 4 draws, 11 losses)
- Спортивная академия Каират — 2. place, 53 points after 22 games (16 wins, 5 draws, 1 losses)
- Хан Тенгри, last 5 games: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 losses
- Спортивная академия Каират, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses
- Head-to-head: 7 games, Хан Тенгри — 0, 1 draws, Спортивная академия Каират — 6
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Khan Tengri
WWLDL
2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses
Sport Academy Kairat
WWWDW
4 wins · 1 draw
Head to head 7
0Khan Tengri
1Draw
6Sport Academy Kairat
- 25 JunSport Academy Kairat — Khan Tengri5:0
- 18 Jul 2025Khan Tengri — Sport Academy Kairat0:4
- 17 Apr 2025Sport Academy Kairat — Khan Tengri2:1
- 6 Sep 2024Sport Academy Kairat — Khan Tengri2:0
- 25 Apr 2024Khan Tengri — Sport Academy Kairat0:3
Bookmaker market
3
bookmakers counted
1.16
Average bookmaker line
1.13 — 1.18
Odds range
More predictions
All match predictions
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 17 Sep, 08:28Sport Academy Kairat are expected to win. The 28-point gap between second and tenth place, combined with a perfect six wins from six head-to-head meetings, points to a comfortable victory for the visitors.
Khan Tengri’s recent form suggests a team finding its footing, highlighted by a hard-fought 4:3 away victory over Tobol 2 and a resilient 0:0 home draw against Arys. These results indicate a side capable of competing, even if consistency remains a work in progress.
Sport Academy Sport Academy Kairat have been more consistent, earning eleven points from their last five outings. They won 1:0 away to Tobol 2 on 3 September, 1:0 at home against Arys on 27 August, and 4:0 away to Turan Turkistan on 21 August. Two draws followed—2:2 at home versus Astana II on 10 September and 0:0 at home against Akademiya Ontustik on 13 August. They have scored eight goals while conceding just two.
The head-to-head record is stark. Sport Academy Kairat have won every previous encounter: 5:0 at home in June 2026, 4:0 away in July 2025, 2:1 at home in April 2025, 2:0 at home in September 2024, 3:0 away in April 2024, and 3:1 at home in July 2023. Khan Tengri's only result in seven meetings was a single draw. The model expects Kairat to score 2.2 goals while Khan Tengri manage 0.9.
The three most likely scorelines are 0:2, 1:2, and 0:1, each at 10 percent probability. The draw is priced at 19 percent, and the chance of both teams scoring sits at 54 percent. Sixty-one percent of simulated matches produce three or more goals. Sport Academy Kairat have conceded 36 percent of their goals after the 75th minute and 36 percent in the 61-75 minute period, while Khan Tengri have scored 23 percent of their goals in each of the opening fifteen minutes and the final fifteen.
A draw is the outcome that would break this prediction. Khan Tengri have drawn four of their last five matches, including two clean-sheet results at home. If they can contain Sport Academy Kairat's attack in the opening half and exploit the visitors' vulnerability in the final quarter, the gap between the sides narrows significantly.