Kheybar Khorramabad vs Foolad FC: match prediction on 2 September 2026

Foolad to edge Kheybar Khorramabad in a tight affair where their defensive solidity meets the hosts' late-game vulnerabilities. The visitors have not lost in five matches while conceding just one goal across that run, and Kheybar's habit of letting in half their goals after the 75th minute offers a window Foolad can exploit.

Foolad's away record reads two wins and three draws from five outings, with only a single goal conceded across all five matches. Their most recent outing ended 0:0 at home against Esteghlal FC, but before that they won 3:0 away at Sanat Naft and 2:0 away at Shams Azar Qazvin. Three of those five matches finished level, showing a willingness to grind out results. They sit sixth on six points from four league games, undefeated so far.

Kheybar Khorramabad have won none of their last five matches, collecting three points from three draws and two defeats. They lost 2:3 at home to Paykan and 0:2 at home to Chadormalu SC, while drawing 2:2 away at Aluminium Arak and 1:1 at home against Fajr Sepasi. They are twelfth on three points from four games, and their goal difference of minus three reflects a side that struggles to contain opponents. Their scoring pattern shows half their goals arrive in the final 15 minutes, with another 20 percent in the opening quarter-hour.

The head-to-head record over the past two seasons is evenly matched: four meetings produced one win apiece and two draws. The most recent encounter on 2 February 2026 ended 2:2 at Kheybar's ground, while Foolad won 1:0 at home in September 2025. Kheybar claimed a 2:0 victory in February 2025, and the sides drew 1:1 in September 2024. Neither side has dominated this fixture.

The model projects Kheybar Khorramabad to score 0.9 goals and Foolad 1.2, with a 29 percent chance of a draw and 42 percent that both teams find the net. The three most likely scorelines are 0:1 at 15 percent, 1:1 at 13 percent, and 0:0 at 12 percent. Kheybar concede 40 percent of their goals in the final 15 minutes of matches, while Foolad have kept clean sheets in three of their last five games. This timing mismatch favours the visitors if they maintain their composure.

An away goal for Foolad in the first 30 minutes would shift the balance significantly, as would a late equaliser from Kheybar capitalising on their pattern of second-half pressure.