Andebol 1
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Ludogorets II vs Hebar 1918: match prediction on 29 August 2026
Ludogorets II
Hebar 1918
Prediction for
Win: Ludogorets II
52%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
39%
1
28%
X
33%
2
Average bookmaker line (30)
2.28
1
3.27
X
2.73
2
Odds range
2.20 — 2.36
for outcome 1
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 27 Aug, 18:03- Лудогорец II идёт 11-м: 7 очков после 5 матчей (2 побед, 1 ничьих, 2 поражений)
- Хебар 1918 идёт 13-м: 6 очков после 5 матчей (2 побед, 3 поражений)
- Последние 5 матчей Лудогорец II: 2 побед, 1 ничьих, 2 поражений
- Последние 5 матчей Хебар 1918: 2 побед, 3 поражений
- Очные встречи за последние годы: сыграно 2, побед Лудогорец II — 2, побед Хебар 1918 — 0
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Ludogorets II
LDDLW
1 win · 2 draws · 2 losses
Hebar 1918
WWDDL
2 wins · 2 draws · 1 loss
Head to head 6
5Ludogorets II
0Draw
1Hebar 1918
- 4 MayHebar 1918 — Ludogorets II1:2
- 12 Dec 2025Ludogorets II — Hebar 19182:1
- 8 May 2022Hebar 1918 — Ludogorets II2:1
- 8 Nov 2021Ludogorets II — Hebar 19183:1
- 9 Apr 2021Hebar 1918 — Ludogorets II1:3
Bookmaker market
30
bookmakers counted
2.28
Average bookmaker line
2.20 — 2.36
Odds range
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 27 Aug, 18:03Hebar's late-game vulnerability
Hebar 1918 have conceded 29% of their goals between the 61st and 75th minutes across their last 21 matches. That is the most dangerous window for them, and it comes when Ludogorets II are at their most patient. The visitors score 20% of their goals in the final 15 minutes, so a match that opens 1-1 or 0-0 could tilt sharply toward the home side if Hebar cannot handle the closing stages. Ludogorets II win 52% of their modelled outcomes, and this timing split is one reason why.
Recent meetings favour the home side
Ludogorets II have won four of the last six encounters between these sides, including both matches this season. The 2:1 result at home in December 2025 and the 2:1 away win in May 2026 show they can manage games against Hebar in different settings. Hebar's two victories came in 2022 and 2021, when the sides were not yet on the same competitive level.
Form is tighter than the table suggests
Seven points versus six points after five matches looks like a narrow gap, but the quality of results differs. Ludogorets II drew 1:1 away at CSKA Sofia II and lost 0:2 twice, while Hebar 1918 lost three of five and scored 10 goals in the process. Hebar's 10:11 goal difference shows they can attack, but their defensive record—11 conceded in five games—makes them unreliable. Ludogorets II's 4:6 difference is tighter, and their two wins came against lower-ranked opposition.
Model points to a low-scoring edge
The model expects 1.8 goals for Ludogorets II and 1.2 for Hebar 1918, with a 23% chance of a draw. The most likely scores are 1:1 at 11%, 2:1 at 10%, and 1:0 at 9%. A 2:1 result would give Ludogorets II the win, and 1:0 would do the same without requiring Hebar to find the net.
If Hebar stops collapsing after the break
If Hebar improves their defensive discipline after the break, or if Ludogorets II suffer an early setback that forces them to chase the game, the balance shifts. Hebar have scored 33% of their goals between 46 and 60 minutes, so an early away goal could change everything.