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Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Ashdod: match prediction on 31 August 2026

Liga Leumit Green Stadium Nof HaGalil Miss Match page
Maccabi Bnei Raina Ashdod

Prediction for

Win: Maccabi Bnei Raina

40%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

34% 1
29% X
37% 2

Average bookmaker line (33)

2.65 1
3.10 X
2.44 2

Odds range

2.50 — 2.75

for outcome 1

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 29 Aug, 10:40

I back Maccabi Bnei Raina to win at 55% confidence. The hosts have shown they can beat Ashdod away from home, and their recent 1-0 victory over Kiryat Yam SC suggests they are building momentum ahead of this home fixture. Ashdod's form is less reassuring — three defeats in five matches, including a heavy 0-2 loss away at Hapoel Afula.

Maccabi Bnei Raina's last five matches read one win, one draw, three losses. That 1-0 win away at Kiryat Yam SC on 23 August was their only positive result in that span. They scored four goals and conceded ten across those five games. Their most recent outing was a 0-2 defeat away at Hapoel Afula on 18 August.

Twelve meetings separate these sides in recent years: four wins each, four draws. The most recent encounter on 25 April 2026 saw Maccabi Bnei Raina win 2-1 away at Ashdod in the Ligat Ha'al. Before that, a 0-0 draw at home in January 2026.

The statistical model expects Maccabi Bnei Raina to score 1.5 goals and Ashdod 1.3. The draw probability sits at 25%, both teams to score at 57%, and three or more goals at 53%. The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12%, followed by 1-0 and 2-1 both at 9%. Maccabi score 33% of their goals in the final 15 minutes, while Ashdod have conceded 33% of theirs in the same period.

If Ashdod can frustrate Maccabi and take the game to extra time or penalties, the home win prediction collapses. A genuine tactical risk arises if either side loses a key attacker before kick-off, as the expected goals would shift significantly.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 29 Aug, 10:40
  • Маккаби Бней Рейна — 12. place, 3 points after 2 games (1 wins, 1 losses)
  • Ашдод — 11. place, 3 points after 2 games (1 wins, 1 losses)
  • Маккаби Бней Рейна, last 5 games: 1 wins, 1 draws, 3 losses
  • Ашдод, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Head-to-head: 12 games, Маккаби Бней Рейна — 4, 4 draws, Ашдод — 4

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Maccabi Bnei Raina LWLWW 3 wins · 2 losses
Ashdod LLWWW 3 wins · 2 losses

Head to head 12

4Maccabi Bnei Raina 4Draw 4Ashdod
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

33 bookmakers counted
2.65 Average bookmaker line
2.50 — 2.75 Odds range

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+