Maccabi Herzliya vs Kafr Qasim: match prediction on 14 September 2026

I see no reason to back Kafr Qasim here. Maccabi Herzliya win is the call, with 40% confidence.

The visitors have taken seven points from their last five games while the hosts have managed only five. Kafr Qasim beat Hapoel Acre 4-0 at home and drew with Ironi Modi'in on the road, showing they can grind results even when not at their best. Maccabi Herzliya lost two of their last three matches, including a 2-0 defeat at home to Hapoel Kfar Saba and a 3-2 loss to Hapoel Ra'anana.

Six meetings since December 2023 tell a different story. Maccabi Herzliya have won three, drawn twice and lost once. The most recent clash ended 2-0 in their favour at Kafr Qasim's ground in March 2026. They also won 1-0 at home in November 2024 and 3-0 away in April 2024. Two draws came at Maccabi Herzliya's stadium, both 1-1.

Both sides sit on four points after four matches this season. Kafr Qasim occupy 12th place, Maccabi Herzliya are one position below in 13th. The gap between them is zero points, and the head-to-head record suggests the hosts have the edge in this particular rivalry.

The model expects Maccabi Herzliya to score 1.2 goals and Kafr Qasim 1.0. The draw probability stands at 29%, both teams to score at 44%. The three most likely scorelines are 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (13%) and 0-1 (11%). If the match stays tight, the home side's edge in the historical record tips the balance.

This conclusion stops holding if Kafr Qasim find their scoring rhythm early. They have scored 32% of their goals in the 46-60 minute period and another 32% in the final 15 minutes. If they get ahead in the second half, Maccabi Herzliya will have to chase. The hosts concede 23% of their goals in the 61-75 minute window and another 23% in the closing stages. That pattern could work against them if the visitors strike first and then extend their lead when the game opens up.