Cup
Baník Prievidza
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
Prediction for Baník Prievidza — Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
44%
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Mushuc Runa vs Delfín SC: match prediction on 28 August 2026
Mushuc Runa
Delfín SC
Prediction for
Win: Mushuc Runa
53%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
59%
1
25%
X
16%
2
Average bookmaker line (46)
1.56
1
3.67
X
5.55
2
Odds range
1.45 — 1.68
for outcome 1
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 27 Aug, 17:03- Мусук Руна идёт 9-м: 33 очков после 26 матчей (8 побед, 9 ничьих, 9 поражений)
- Дельфин идёт 15-м: 24 очков после 26 матчей (6 побед, 6 ничьих, 14 поражений)
- Последние 5 матчей Мусук Руна: 2 побед, 2 ничьих, 1 поражений
- Последние 5 матчей Дельфин: 0 побед, 1 ничьих, 4 поражений
- Очные встречи за последние годы: сыграно 8, побед Мусук Руна — 3, ничьих 1, побед Дельфин — 4
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Mushuc Runa
WDDWD
2 wins · 3 draws
Delfín SC
LLLLW
1 win · 4 losses
Head to head 13
5Mushuc Runa
1Draw
7Delfín SC
- 3 MayDelfín SC — Mushuc Runa1:0
- 16 Jun 2025Delfín SC — Mushuc Runa3:1
- 18 Feb 2025Mushuc Runa — Delfín SC2:0
- 8 Nov 2024Delfín SC — Mushuc Runa4:2
- 19 May 2024Mushuc Runa — Delfín SC5:0
Bookmaker market
46
bookmakers counted
1.56
Average bookmaker line
1.45 — 1.68
Odds range
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 27 Aug, 17:03Mushuc Runa to win at 1.56. The hosts have been steady at home while Delfín SC have lost four of their last five, and the model expects Mushuc to score 1.5 goals against 0.8 for the visitors.
Mushuc Runa sit 9th with 33 points from 26 matches, eight wins, nine draws and nine losses. Their last five games produced two victories, two draws and one defeat for eight points, with five goals scored and three conceded. They drew 0:0 at Deportivo Cuenca on 22 August and at home against Barcelona SC on 16 August, then won 3:0 away at Tecnico Universitario and 2:1 away at Manta. The only loss came 0:2 at home to Libertad Asunción on 27 July.
Delfín SC occupy 15th place with 24 points, six wins, six draws and 14 defeats. Their recent run has been difficult: zero wins, one draw and four losses in the last five matches, yielding just one point. They lost 1:0 at home to Aucas on 23 August and 1:0 at home to Cde Juventud Italiana in the Copa Ecuador on 20 August. The only positive was a 1:1 home draw with Orense SC on 9 August, while they lost 3:2 away to Independiente del Valle and 2:1 away to LDU Quito.
The most recent encounter ended 1:0 to Delfín SC at home on 3 May 2026, and before that Delfín won 3:1 at home on 15 June 2025. Mushuc secured 2:0 victories at home in February 2025 and September 2023, and 5:0 at home in May 2024. Delfín added a 4:2 home win in November 2024. Mushuc's attacking pattern shows 36% of goals in the final 15 minutes and 29% in the first 15, while Delfín score 40% after the 75th minute.
The line opened with Mushuc at 1.54, draw at 3.70 and Delfín at 5.63. By midday on 28 August Mushuc moved to 1.56, the draw to 3.66 and Delfín to 5.56. The market assigns 59% probability to a home win, 25% to a draw and 16% to a Delfín victory. The model predicts 1:0 (15%), 1:1 (12%) and 2:0 (11%) as the most likely scores, with a 27% chance of a draw and 42% that both sides score.
If Delfín secure an early goal and adopt a defensive approach, the match could drift toward a draw, which would invalidate the home win prediction.