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Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City: match prediction on 15 October 2026

Major League Soccer GEODIS Park Nashville Pending Match page
Nashville SC Sporting Kansas City

Prediction for

Win: Nashville SC

68%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

68% 1
20% X
12% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 14 Oct, 01:45

Standings define the outcome

Nashville SC finished on 60 points after 27 matches, while Sporting Kansas City remained on 21 points. The table places Nashville SC first and Sporting Kansas City fifteenth. The gap between the two sides is 39 points.

Form and fixtures

Nashville SC’s recent record shows two wins, two draws and one loss in their last five matches, accumulating eight points. Their goals total in that period is eight scored and four conceded. Sporting Kansas City recorded two wins and three losses in their last five games, scoring 12 goals and conceding 11.

Statistical averages

Over the last ten matches, Nashville SC averaged 51 per cent possession and 1.75 expected goals. Sporting Kansas City averaged 44 per cent possession and 1.25 expected goals.

Head-to-head context

Historical meetings show Nashville SC have won two of the last two recorded fixtures against Sporting Kansas City. These results include a 2:1 victory in January 2024 and a 3:0 win in September 2023.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 14 Oct, 01:45
  • Нэшвилл — 1. place, 60 points after 27 games (18 wins, 6 draws, 3 losses)
  • Спортинг Канзас-Сити — 15. place, 21 points after 27 games (6 wins, 3 draws, 18 losses)
  • Нэшвилл, last 5 games: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 losses
  • Спортинг Канзас-Сити, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Head-to-head: 2 games, Нэшвилл — 2, Спортинг Канзас-Сити — 0

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Nashville SC DLDWW 2 wins · 2 draws · 1 loss
Sporting Kansas City LWLWL 2 wins · 3 losses

Head to head 5

3Nashville SC 0Draw 2Sporting Kansas City
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+