Andebol 1
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Olympic
IFK Göteborg
Prediction for
Win: IFK Göteborg
96%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 31 Aug, 18:02IFK Göteborg are expected to cruise to a comfortable away victory in the Svenska Cupen, with the model pointing to a 0:4 scoreline as the most probable outcome. The Swedish side's recent form and the statistical profile of this fixture leave little room for doubt.
Olympic enter the match with a flawless record in their last five games, winning all five and scoring 14 goals while conceding eight. Their recent results include a 2:1 victory over Hässleholms IF on 25 July, a 4:3 win against Tasmania Berlin on 19 July, and a 5:3 Svenska Cupen victory over Afc Malmo on 26 May. They also beat Ängelholms FF 1:0 away on 28 March and Lindome 2:1 at home on 21 March. This winning streak demonstrates consistency and attacking intent.
IFK Göteborg's record is more mixed but shows resilience. They have won two, drawn two, and lost one of their last five matches, accumulating eight points from 15 available.
The model's expectations are stark. Olympic are projected to score 0.5 goals while IFK Göteborg are expected to net 4.5. The probability of a draw sits at just 3%, and there is an 87% chance of three or more goals in the match. The three most likely scorelines are 0:4 at 12%, 0:5 at 11%, and 0:3 at 11%. Both teams to score is priced at 36%, which suggests Olympic may find the net but not enough to trouble the outcome.
IFK Göteborg's goal distribution reveals a team that finishes matches strongly. They score 32% of their goals in the final 15 minutes and concede 29% of their goals in the same period. This pattern indicates they are capable of closing out games decisively while also being vulnerable when leads are held. Their attacking output of 106.7 attacks per match over their last 10 fixtures shows they do not lack for opportunities.
The conclusion that IFK Göteborg win comfortably does not hold if Olympic can impose their attacking rhythm early and exploit any defensive lapses in the first 30 minutes. The model's 0.5 expected goals for the home side suggests limited threat, but an early breakthrough would shift the entire dynamic of the match and give the hosts a path to contention.