Cup
Spišská Nová Ves
Podbrezová
Prediction for Spišská Nová Ves — Podbrezová
96%
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Progresul Spartac București vs Concordia: match prediction on 1 September 2026
Progresul Spartac București
Concordia
Prediction for
Win: Concordia
77%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
12%
1
18%
X
71%
2
Average bookmaker line (37)
7.69
1
5.07
X
1.27
2
Odds range
1.20 — 1.32
for outcome 2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 31 Aug, 15:27- Прогресул Спартаку Бухарест, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
- Конкордия, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
- Head-to-head: 6 games, Прогресул Спартаку Бухарест — 1, Конкордия — 5
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Progresul Spartac București
WWWWL
4 wins · 1 loss
Concordia
WWLWW
4 wins · 1 loss
Head to head 8
1Progresul Spartac București
2Draw
5Concordia
- 30 Mar 2024Concordia — Progresul Spartac București1:0
- 14 Feb 2024Concordia — Progresul Spartac București3:1
- 19 Aug 2023Progresul Spartac București — Concordia0:6
- 22 Apr 2023Concordia — Progresul Spartac București1:0
- 25 Jan 2023Concordia — Progresul Spartac București0:1
Bookmaker market
37
bookmakers counted
1.27
Average bookmaker line
1.20 — 1.32
Odds range
More predictions
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 31 Aug, 15:27Concordia are the clear favourites to advance. The visitors have won five of the last six meetings between these sides, including a 4:1 victory over Progresul Spartac București in the same competition just three weeks ago. The model puts Concordia's expected goals at 2.9 against Progresul's 0.9, and the most likely scorelines—0:2, 0:3, 1:2—all point to a comfortable away win.
Both teams arrive in identical form. Progresul Spartac București and Concordia have each taken 12 points from their last five matches, with four wins and one defeat. Progresul's only loss came in a friendly against Chindia Târgoviște by 2:5, while Concordia's sole setback was a 1:5 home defeat to FC Politehnica Timisoara in Liga II.
Concordia's dominance in this fixture is established. They won 6:0 away at Progresul in August 2023, and have won four of the last five competitive encounters. The most recent meeting on 12 August 2026 saw Concordia cruise to a 4:1 victory away from home in the Cupa României. Progresul's single win in six meetings came in a friendly in January 2023.
Concordia's attacking patterns suggest they will punish Progresul late in the game. They score 31% of their goals in the final 15 minutes and 20% between the 61st and 75th minute. Progresul have shown they can score—netting 12 goals in five matches—yet the model expects less than one goal from them. Concordia's top scorers include Mihai Alexandru Bălașa with four goals and George Dănuț Ganea with two, while Progresul's leading marksmen are A. Pavlopoulos with two and D. Besca with one.
Concordia concede heavily in the opening 15 minutes (22% of goals against) and the final 15 (26%), an early strike could force Progresul to chase. If Progresul finds the net in the first quarter-hour, the visitors may need to chase the game and open up. The model gives a 14% chance of a draw and 57% that both teams score, but the weight of history and expected goals points to Concordia winning by two or more goals.