RB Bragantino vs Cruzeiro: match prediction on 13 October 2026

A draw is the most probable outcome in this fixture. The model gives the draw a 32% probability, and the expected goals figures—1.2 for RB Bragantino and 0.9 for Cruzeiro—suggest a tight, low-scoring affair. RB Bragantino's recent struggles match Cruzeiro's inconsistency, and the head-to-head record shows neither side can claim clear dominance.

RB Bragantino have not won any of their last five matches. They took just one point from four defeats, scoring five goals and conceding nine. The results read like a pattern of collapse rather than bad luck: a 0:1 loss away at Atletico-MG and a 1:2 defeat to Flamengo. They have scored in four of those five games but failed to secure a single victory. Their form suggests a side lacking cutting edge and defensive solidity at the same time.

Cruzeiro's last five matches show two wins and three losses, with no draws. They took six points from those five games, scoring nine goals and conceding nine. The results include a 3:1 victory away at Vitoria, a 1:2 loss at Santos, a 3:1 win at home against Athletico Paranaense, a 1:2 defeat away at Atletico-MG in the Copa do Brasil, and a 1:3 loss away at Vasco DA Gama. They have been capable of scoring freely but equally vulnerable to conceding. Their away form has been particularly unstable.

The recent meetings between these sides do not tell a simple story. Cruzeiro have won four of the last six encounters, RB Bragantino one, with two draws. The last two Serie A meetings both ended 2:1 to Cruzeiro. RB Bragantino did win 1:0 at home in April 2025, and there were two draws—one friendly and one league match. On paper Cruzeiro hold the advantage, but the results have been close and competitive, with single-goal margins in most fixtures.

Cruzeiro sit sixth with 45 points from 28 matches, while RB Bragantino are tenth with 36 points from 27 matches. The nine-point gap reflects Cruzeiro's consistency over a slightly longer campaign. RB Bragantino's record of ten wins, six draws, and eleven losses shows a side that wins more often than they lose but cannot string results together. Cruzeiro's thirteen wins, six draws, and nine losses give them a more stable foundation, though their recent form has not been flawless.

The model expects RB Bragantino to score 1.2 goals and Cruzeiro 0.9. The most likely scoreline is 1:1 at 15%, followed by 0:0 at 13% and 1:0 at 12%. Both teams to score is rated at 45%, and three or more goals at 37%. These figures point toward a tight contest with limited chances. RB Bragantino's goal distribution shows 24% of their goals come in the first half and 52% after the break, while Cruzeiro have 26% of their goals in the final fifteen minutes. Neither side dominates any particular period decisively.