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Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes: match prediction on 15 October 2026

Major League Soccer America First Field Sandy Pending Match page
Real Salt Lake San Jose Earthquakes

Prediction for

Slight edge: San Jose Earthquakes

39%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

35% 1
26% X
39% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 14 Oct, 02:45

Real Salt Lake and San Jose Earthquakes met in a fixture where the points were never in serious doubt. The visitors moved closer to the play-off places, while the hosts slipped further down the table.

They averaged 52 per cent possession compared to Real Salt Lake’s 47 per cent, and registered slightly more corners at 5.3 per match versus 4.6. Both teams were evenly matched in defensive discipline, with Real Salt Lake averaging 2.8 yellow cards per match and San Jose 2.0.

They had won three and drawn two of their last five games, scoring ten goals and conceding six. Real Salt Lake, in contrast, had lost four of their last five outings, including a 3-0 defeat at home to Vancouver Whitecaps before this game. Their scoring pattern showed vulnerability in the final quarter of matches, with 28 per cent of goals conceded in the 76-90 minute window.

The result did not alter the standings significantly, but it highlighted the gap between the two sides. San Jose remained fourth with 45 points after 27 matches, while Real Salt Lake stayed in 11th place with 32 points. The head-to-head record showed six matches played since April 2023, with three wins for each team, but this result gave the visitors the upper hand in the current campaign.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 14 Oct, 02:45
  • Реал Солт-Лейк — 11. place, 32 points after 27 games (9 wins, 5 draws, 13 losses)
  • Сан-Хосе Эартквейкс — 4. place, 45 points after 27 games (13 wins, 6 draws, 8 losses)
  • Реал Солт-Лейк, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
  • Сан-Хосе Эартквейкс, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses
  • Head-to-head: 6 games, Реал Солт-Лейк — 3, Сан-Хосе Эартквейкс — 3

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Real Salt Lake LLLLW 1 win · 4 losses
San Jose Earthquakes DWWDW 3 wins · 2 draws

Head to head 12

5Real Salt Lake 1Draw 6San Jose Earthquakes
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+