ELJ
Plzeň U20
Karlovy Vary U20
Prediction for Plzeň U20 — Karlovy Vary U20
50%
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Shirak II vs Noah II: match prediction on 21 September 2026
Shirak II
Noah II
Prediction for
Win: Noah II
43%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
24%
1
21%
X
56%
2
Average bookmaker line (2)
3.76
1
4.30
X
1.59
2
Odds range
1.59 — 1.59
for outcome 2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 19 Sep, 12:32- Ширак II — 11. place, 4 points after 5 games (1 wins, 1 draws, 3 losses)
- Ноа II — 10. place, 6 points after 7 games (1 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses)
- Ширак II, last 5 games: 1 wins, 1 draws, 3 losses
- Ноа II, last 5 games: 1 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 6 games, Ширак II — 1, Ноа II — 5
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Shirak II
LLDWL
1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses
Noah II
LWDDL
1 win · 2 draws · 2 losses
Head to head 6
1Shirak II
0Draw
5Noah II
- 21 MayNoah II — Shirak II3:0
- 4 Nov 2025Shirak II — Noah II2:4
- 19 May 2025Noah II — Shirak II0:2
- 10 Nov 2024Shirak II — Noah II1:5
- 4 Mar 2024Shirak II — Noah II0:2
Bookmaker market
2
bookmakers counted
1.59
Average bookmaker line
1.59 — 1.59
Odds range
More predictions
All match predictions
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 19 Sep, 12:32Noah II are the clear favourites at 1.59, a price that has not moved since the line opened on 20 September. The market has priced them heavily because they have won five of the six meetings between these sides. Shirak II have taken just one victory from that run, and the most recent encounter ended 3-0 in May. The model expects 1.7 goals for the visitors and 1.5 for the hosts, which points toward a tight game decided by a single margin.
Head-to-head dominance
Five wins from six matches is not a pattern that shifts overnight. Noah II won 4-2 at Shirak II in November 2025 and 3-0 at home in May 2026. Shirak II's only victory came 2-0 away in May 2025. The visitors have scored 14 goals in those six meetings and conceded six. That record explains why the line sits at 1.59 and why the model gives Noah II a higher expected goal tally.
Defensive fragility
Both sides have conceded heavily in recent matches. Shirak II have conceded 10 goals in five matches, with defeats of 4-0 at Andranik and 3-0 at Olympia Yerevan. The model's 63% probability for three or more goals reflects what both defences have shown recently.
Table position
Noah II sit 10th with six points from seven matches. Shirak II are 11th with four points from five. The visitors have played two more fixtures, which means their points-per-game ratio is slightly lower, but the head-to-head record and the model's expectations outweigh that mathematical adjustment. Both sides are in the bottom two of the Erste Liga, and the pressure will be on Shirak II to avoid falling further behind.
When the prediction breaks
A draw suits the visitors in certain scenarios. Noah II have drawn three of their seven matches and know how to run the clock down when leading. If the game reaches 1-1 by half-time, the model's 23% draw probability becomes more likely, and the 1.59 price offers no value.