Andebol 1
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Sport Boys vs Sporting Cristal: match prediction on 30 August 2026
Sport Boys
Sporting Cristal
Prediction for
Win: Sport Boys
43%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
38%
1
29%
X
33%
2
Average bookmaker line (44)
2.44
1
3.22
X
2.77
2
Odds range
2.35 — 2.60
for outcome 1
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 29 Aug, 10:41- Спорт Бойс — 11. place, 20 points after 17 games (5 wins, 5 draws, 7 losses)
- Спортинг Кристал — 12. place, 19 points after 17 games (5 wins, 4 draws, 8 losses)
- Спорт Бойс, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses
- Спортинг Кристал, last 5 games: 3 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses
- Head-to-head: 8 games, Спорт Бойс — 0, 2 draws, Спортинг Кристал — 6
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Sport Boys
DWDWL
2 wins · 2 draws · 1 loss
Sporting Cristal
WLWLW
3 wins · 2 losses
Head to head 12
0Sport Boys
3Draw
9Sporting Cristal
- 15 MarSporting Cristal — Sport Boys3:0
- 26 Jul 2025Sport Boys — Sporting Cristal0:2
- 16 Feb 2025Sporting Cristal — Sport Boys2:1
- 21 Jul 2024Sporting Cristal — Sport Boys4:0
- 4 Feb 2024Sport Boys — Sporting Cristal1:3
Bookmaker market
44
bookmakers counted
2.44
Average bookmaker line
2.35 — 2.60
Odds range
More predictions
All match predictions
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 29 Aug, 10:41On 23 August, Sport Boys secured a 5:1 victory over Cienciano at home, a result that underscores their current standing as they face Sporting Cristal. The model projects expected goals at 1.4 for the hosts and 1.2 for the visitors, while the most likely scoreline is 1:1 at 12%. Sport Boys are 38% chance to win at home on 2.39, with Sporting Cristal at 33% and a draw at 29% after removing the bookmaker margin.
Unbeaten run meets away record
Sport Boys have taken nine points from their last five games — two wins and three draws — including that 5:1 victory over Cienciano. They also beat Atletico Grau 1:0 away in the Primera División. Sporting Cristal are in better shape with three wins in five, but they lost 3:1 at Alianza Atlético on 21 August and drew 1:1 away at Universitario.
Head-to-head shadows
Sporting Cristal have won six of the last eight meetings, with two draws and no victories for Sport Boys. The most recent encounter ended 3:0 to Sporting Cristal on 15 March 2026. Sport Boys have not won at home against them since February 2024, when the fixture ended 1:3 in Lima. This record sits alongside a table position where Sport Boys are 11th on 20 points and Sporting Cristal are 12th on 19 points after 17 matches.
When the game opens up
Sport Boys score 41% of their goals between the 46th and 60th minutes and 34% in the final 15 minutes. They concede 21% of their goals in the opening 15 minutes and 28% in the closing quarter. Sporting Cristal have a different pattern — 41% of their goals come in the 76th to 90th minute, and they concede 36% of their goals in that same period. Both sides are vulnerable late, which suits a match where either could turn it around.
What breaks the prediction
Sporting Cristal are suited to a draw — they have drawn four of their last 17 matches and know how to protect a point away from home.