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Tacuary vs 12 de Junio VH: match prediction on 15 September 2026

Division Intermedia Estadio Toribio Vargas Asunción Hit Match page
Tacuary 12 de Junio VH

Prediction for

Win: 12 de Junio VH

45%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

26% 1
29% X
45% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 13 Sep, 23:13

12 de Junio VH to edge a tight affair, 12 de Junio VH press high. The visitors have won 13 of 23 matches this season and carry a forward line that has netted 21 goals across the campaign. Tacuary, sitting 14th with just 20 points, have managed only 19 goals in the same span and have failed to win any of their last five outings.

The visitors' attacking rhythm looks sharper. They scored 7 goals in their last five matches while conceding 5, compared with Tacuary's 2 goals for and 6 against over the same period. 12 de Junio VH's expected goals figure of 1.2 suggests they are likely to find the net one or two times, while Tacuary's 0.9 points to a single goal at most.

Three meetings yield one Tacuary win and two draws.

These two have met three times in recent years, and the record reads 1 win for Tacuary, 2 draws, and 0 wins for 12 de Junio VH. The most recent encounter on 23 May 2026 ended 2:2 at the visitors' ground, and before that Tacuary held a 1:1 draw at home in July 2025. H2H points to a stalemate, but visitors' xG pushes the score to 0:1.

Late goals decide it. Tacuary have conceded 34% of their goals in the final 15 minutes of matches, while 12 de Junio VH have scored 24% of their goals in that same window. If the match stays level into the closing stages, the visitors have the edge in that phase. Tacuary's own goal distribution shows 26% coming after the 76th minute, so they can still trouble opponents late.

The visitors must keep their shape. Tacuary sit deep. The 29% draw probability holds.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 13 Sep, 23:13
  • Такуари — 14. place, 20 points after 23 games (3 wins, 11 draws, 9 losses)
  • 12 де Хуньо — 2. place, 45 points after 23 games (13 wins, 6 draws, 4 losses)
  • Такуари, last 5 games: 0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses
  • 12 де Хуньо, last 5 games: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 losses
  • Head-to-head: 3 games, Такуари — 1, 2 draws, 12 де Хуньо — 0

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Tacuary LDLDL 2 draws · 3 losses
12 de Junio VH WLDDW 2 wins · 2 draws · 1 loss

Head to head 3

1Tacuary 2Draw 012 de Junio VH
All head-to-head

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+