Uppsala Women vs Eskilstuna United: match prediction on 28 August 2026

The line has not moved since opening — 40 bookmakers hold the same price, and the market sees no reason to adjust. Uppsala Women sit 14th with 6 points from 15 matches, one win and eleven losses. Eskilstuna United are 5th with 23 points. The gap between them is not just in the table; it runs through their recent results.

Uppsala have lost five matches in a row. They scored three goals and conceded 26 in that span. The most recent result was a 5:1 defeat away at Piteå on 23 August. Before that came a 0:6 home loss to Malmö FF Women and an 8:0 away defeat to Djurgården. They are not just losing; they are being outclassed. Their only goal in the last five games came in the 61st to 75th minute — a single burst with nothing before or after. Defensively, they are porous. They have conceded 28 goals across the season, with 25 percent arriving in the 31st to 45th minute and 21 percent in the final quarter. There is no sign of a turnaround.

Eskilstuna United have been more consistent. They sit in 5th place with 23 points — 7 wins, 2 draws, 6 losses. Their last five matches brought 2 wins and 3 defeats, with 2 goals scored and 8 conceded. They beat Rosengård Women 1:0 away on 15 August and Kristianstad 1:0 at home on 8 August. Their scoring pattern is different from Uppsala's. Half of their goals in the last five games came in the 76th to 90th minute, with a quarter in the opening 15 minutes and another quarter in the 31st to 45th. They are not dominant but they are dangerous in specific phases. Their defensive record is tighter — 11 goals conceded in the same period, with 36 percent coming in the 46th to 60th minute.

The head-to-head record is even. Six matches played, three wins each. The last meeting ended 1:0 to Eskilstuna United on 17 May 2026. Before that, Uppsala won 4:1 at home in April 2025 and 1:0 in April 2024. Eskilstuna United also won 3:1 at home in October 2025 and 2:1 at home in August 2024. The two teams have traded victories, but this season Uppsala are in a completely different position. They are fighting relegation while Eskilstuna are pushing for a mid-table finish.

The model expects Uppsala Women to score 1 goal and Eskilstuna United to score 1.5. The probability of a draw is 25 percent, both teams scoring is 51 percent, and 3 or more goals in the match is 48 percent. The most likely scores are 1:1 at 12 percent, 0:1 at 12 percent, and 1:2 at 9 percent. This prediction holds as long as Uppsala do not find a way to defend better or Eskilstuna do not pull back. If the away side leads early, they can control the tempo without needing more goals. If Uppsala score first, the match opens up. The current line reflects the first scenario — Eskilstuna to manage the game and take the result without drama.