Cup
Prediction for Spišská Nová Ves — Podbrezová
96%
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Prediction for
Win: Volos NFC
52%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 1
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 29 Aug, 11:15Volos should edge this one. They won the Cup meeting 3:1 just 12 days ago and the model gives them 1.7 expected goals against Iraklis's 1.1.
Both sides start with nothing. Volos sit 12th after a loss, Iraklis 13th after a heavier defeat. The table tells you little about Tuesday but it tells you both managers will want to avoid another defeat. Volos lost 0:2 to OFI Crete away, Iraklis 0:4 to AEK Athens away. Two different margins but the same result.
Volos have been sharper in their results. Five matches, two wins, six points, seven goals scored. Iraklis managed two draws and three losses, two points, three goals. The difference shows in the head-to-head too. Volos scored three at the other end of Greece while Iraklis managed one.
The model's numbers point toward a tight game. Draw probability sits at 24%, both teams to score at 53%. The most likely scoreline is 1:1 at 12%, followed by 1:0 for Volos at 11% and 2:1 at 10%. Three or more goals land at 52% — this could open up.
Volos tend to find their rhythm late. They score 26% of their goals in the 61-75 minute block and another 26% from 76-90. Iraklis are more active in the middle period, with 33% of their nine goals coming between 46 and 60 minutes. Volos also concede heavily in the first half, 24% each in the 16-30 and 31-45 windows. If Iraklis can stay compact and hit on the break, they have a chance. This prediction breaks if Volos score early and Iraklis are forced to chase.