Andebol 1
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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ZOB Ahan
Prediction for
Draw
38%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 10
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 31 Aug, 15:47The prediction is a draw at 38%. The model's figure is based on a pattern of low-scoring matches from both sides and a head-to-head record that has produced two wins each and two draws across six meetings. Paykan's recent form carries more weight — they have not lost in four matches — but ZOB Ahan's inability to find a victory has pushed them into a defensive posture that suits a stalemate.
ZOB Ahan have drawn three of their last four matches and lost one, scoring just three goals while conceding five. Their most recent outing ended 0:0 away at Fajr Sepasi on 29 August, and before that they held Mes Shahr-e Babak to a 1:1 at home.
Paykan sits higher in the table with five points from four games. They beat Kheybar Khorramabad 3:2 away on 24 August, but that was the only victory in their last five matches. Three of those five ended 0:0 — at home against Esteghlal Khuzestan, against Gol Gohar, and at home against Sepahan FC.
Paykan's goal distribution shows a specific rhythm. Forty percent of their five goals arrive in the 31-45 minute window and another 40% in the 76-90 minute period. They have not scored once between the 16th and 30th minute, nor between the 46th and 60th.
The model projects ZOB Ahan to score 0.8 goals and Paykan 0.6. Those are not predictions of a specific scoreline but averages across many simulated versions of this fixture. The most likely outcome is 0:0 at 24%, followed by 1:0 to the hosts at 19% and 0:1 to the visitors at 15%. Both teams to score sits at just 26%.
Across six meetings the sides have split victories evenly — two wins each, two draws. The most recent encounter on 16 January 2026 saw Paykan win 2:0 at home, but before that ZOB Ahan claimed a 1:0 victory at home in May 2024. Paykan have won two of the last six, ZOB Ahan two, and two ended level.
The model does not account for injuries or suspensions because none have been reported for either side. ZOB Ahan are under pressure to secure their first win; Paykan are comfortable in ninth place.