FC Nordsjaelland

Match report

Nordsjaelland beat St Gallen 1-0 in the UEFA Conference League playoff round on Wednesday evening. The match took place at the Right to Dream Park, and it was the hosts who carried through to the next stage. A single goal from Nikolaj Rojkjaer in the thirteenth minute proved decisive. The visitors started with more energy, moving the ball around with purpose. And here's the thing — St Gallen created more opportunities, but Nordsjaelland were sharper when it mattered. Rojkjaer's strike caught them on the break, and the scoreline told a different story from the possession figures. By then, St Gallen had already seen Leon Frokaj booked twice in quick succession. The Danish side responded with discipline, and the first half ended with Nordsjaelland holding their slender advantage. Frokaj came off at the interval for L. Frokaj, and the visitors made another change at the break. The second half saw both sides reshuffle. St Gallen pushed for an equaliser, with attacks coming from A. Hunziker and H. Vandermersch. Lukas Daschner picked up a yellow card at sixty-six minutes, and Nordsjaelland made their own changes to see out the game. Rojkjaer was substituted at seventy-one, replaced by L. Sadio. The statistics tell a story of imbalance. St Gallen had more attacks — 101 to 77 — and took more shots on target, six to four. But expected goals stood at 1.62 for the hosts and 1.79 for the visitors, and only one found the net. The extra pressure came with a cost, and St Gallen paid for it. We had called for a home win before kickoff, and the result vindicated that call. Sixty per cent confidence was enough, though not by much. Nordsjaelland held their nerve when it counted, and the playoff round moves on. The result puts them one step closer to the group stage. St Gallen's five-game unbeaten run in European competition came to an end against a side that knew how to protect a lead.

Prepared from match data

Key numbers

Possession, % 54 – 46

Shots on target 4 – 6

Shots off target 5 – 8

Expected goals 1.62 – 1.79

⚽ 13' N. Rojkjaer — Goal 🟨 39' Leon Frokaj — Yellow card 🟨 40' L. Frokaj — Yellow card ⇄ 46' L. Frokaj — Substitution ⇄ 60' P. Amoako — Substitution ⇄ 61' I. Adel — Substitution 🟨 66' Lukas Daschner — Yellow card ⇄ 66' A. Hunziker — Substitution ⇄ 67' H. Vandermersch — Substitution ⇄ 71' N. Rojkjaer — Substitution ⇄ 71' L. Sadio — Substitution ⇄ 76' L. Daschner — Substitution 🟨 79' Lukas Görtler — Yellow card ⇄ 81' A. Balde — Substitution

Match events

13' 1:0 FC Nordsjaelland Goal N. Rojkjaer assist: I. Adel
39' 1:0 FC St. Gallen Yellow card Leon Frokaj
40' 1:0 FC St. Gallen Yellow card L. Frokaj
46' 1:0 FC St. Gallen Substitution L. Frokaj off: C. Witzig
60' 1:0 FC Nordsjaelland Substitution P. Amoako off: A. Lind
61' 1:0 FC Nordsjaelland Substitution I. Adel off: H. Rasmussen
66' 1:0 FC St. Gallen Yellow card Lukas Daschner
66' 1:0 FC St. Gallen Substitution A. Hunziker off: D. Besio
67' 1:0 FC St. Gallen Substitution H. Vandermersch off: E. Owusu
71' 1:0 FC Nordsjaelland Substitution N. Rojkjaer off: M. Brink
71' 1:0 FC Nordsjaelland Substitution L. Sadio off: V. Berthelsen
76' 1:0 FC St. Gallen Substitution L. Daschner off: B. Fazliji
79' 1:0 FC St. Gallen Yellow card Lukas Görtler
81' 1:0 FC St. Gallen Substitution A. Balde off: M. Efekele

Statistics

54 Possession, % 46

4 Shots on target 6

5 Shots off target 8

1.62 Expected goals 1.79

3 Big chances 2

77 Attacks 101

3 Corners 5

18 Fouls 21

21 Free kicks 17

1 Offsides 4

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

10 Goal kicks 8

27 Throw-ins 15

All statistics

13/2650% Aerial duels 13/2650%

64 Backward passes 50

3 Blocked shots 5

14 Clearances 23

3/560% Crosses 7/1937%

9/3327% Dribbles 9/1947%

1.64 Expected assists 0.72

88 Failed passes 80

6 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Interceptions 7

11 Key passes 11

38/7352% Long passes 18/5533%

60 Passes into the final third 78

185 Passes in the opposition half 207

291 Passes in own half 208

0.33 Shot accuracy 0.32

4 Shots from outside the box 7

8 Shots inside the box 12

11/1765% Tackles 20/3165%

471 Total passes 396

Match prediction: FC Nordsjaelland — FC St. Gallen

Win: FC Nordsjaelland

Confidence 60%

Reasoning

Средняя линия 50 букмекеров: победа Нордшелланд 1.55, ничья 4.56, победа Санкт-Галлен 4.81
Конторы расходятся в оценке: от 1.48 до 1.72 (16%)
Последние 5 матчей Нордшелланд: 5 побед, 0 ничьих, 0 поражений
Последние 5 матчей Санкт-Галлен: 4 побед, 1 ничьих, 0 поражений

Full prediction

Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+

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