Nepal United Arab Emirates 251/3 0 England Pakistan 453 …449 Guyana Amazon Warriors Trinbago Knight Riders 0 75/4 Zabaikalka Chita Women Metar Chelyabinsk Women 1 0 Maiwand Champions Hindukush Strikers …404/9d …199/2 Matches →

Paris 92 Women vs Metz Women: match prediction on 29 August 2026

Ligue Butagaz Énergie Women Palais des Sports Robert Carpentier Besançon Hit Match page
Paris 92 Women Metz Women

Prediction for

Win: Metz Women

71%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

29% 1
71% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 28 Aug, 17:08

Metz Women are the clear favourites for this Ligue Butagaz Énergie fixture, and I'm backing them to extend their winning streak. The gap between these sides has widened into something substantial — Metz Women have won five consecutive matches while Paris 92 have managed just one victory in their last five outings.

Metz Women arrive in exceptional form. Their last five results show five wins, 175 goals scored and 129 conceded — an average of 35 goals per game at the offensive end. That includes a 50:25 demolition of Stella Sports Saint-Maur Women and a 31:29 Champions League victory over Györ. They're scoring freely and conceding sparingly.

Paris 92 are struggling to find consistency. One win, one draw and three defeats in their last five matches tells a difficult story. They've scored 140 goals and conceded 144 — a negative goal difference that suggests defensive vulnerabilities. Their only victory came 32:29 at home against Stella Sports Saint-Maur, and even that was far from convincing.

The head-to-head record reinforces Metz Women's superiority. In nine meetings over recent years, Metz have won eight times with Paris 92 claiming just a single victory — a Coupe de France win 32:18 in May 2025. The most recent league encounter ended 24:36 to Metz in February 2026, and before that 18:25 in May 2025. Metz have consistently found ways to break Paris 92 down.

The model expects Metz Women to score 31.6 goals while Paris 92 manage 23.3 — a difference of nearly eight goals. That margin reflects the current form gap and historical dominance. I'm placing my confidence at 85% on Metz winning, which follows directly from the data rather than any subjective assessment.

This prediction would lose its foundation if Paris 92 were to find their shooting accuracy from earlier in the season. They're capable of high-scoring games — their 32:29 win shows that potential — but they've consistently failed to convert chances in recent matches. If they start finishing what they create, the model's expectations shift significantly.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 28 Aug, 17:08
  • Париж 92 (жен.), last 5 games: 1 wins, 1 draws, 3 losses
  • Мец Женщины, last 5 games: 5 wins, 0 losses
  • Head-to-head: 9 games, Париж 92 (жен.) — 1, Мец Женщины — 8

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Paris 92 Women LWLLD 1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses
Metz Women WWWWW 5 wins

Head to head 11

1Paris 92 Women 0Draw 10Metz Women
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

More predictions

All match predictions

Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+