Andebol 1
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Skanela
Prediction for
Win: Amo HK
95%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 7
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 10 Sep, 14:08Amo HK are set to win again. They beat Skanela 35:25 away on 5 September in the same Swedish Cup tie, and the gap between the sides has only widened since then. Amo HK sit top of the standings with 6 points from 3 matches, while Skanela trail in 3rd place on 2 points. The model expects Amo HK to score 82.1 goals and Skanela 10.8, which points to a one-sided affair. This conclusion stops holding if Skanela manage to score more than 10 goals or if Amo HK fail to break through in the first half, allowing Skanela to control the tempo and push for extra time.
Amo HK's form has been relentless. In their last 5 matches they have won 4 and lost 1, scoring 168 goals and conceding 137. In the cup they have won all three of their games so far without dropping a point. Skanela, by contrast, have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 in their last 5, with 167 goals scored and 160 conceded. They remain unbeaten in the cup after 3 matches but have only managed 2 points from 1 win and 2 draws.
Over the last 7 meetings Amo HK have won 4, drawn 3 and lost none. The most recent encounter ended 35:25 in favour of Amo HK, and before that they won 34:31 away in March 2025. At home in 2024 and 2023 they also came out on top, 37:23 and 35:29 respectively. Skanela have never beaten Amo HK in this period.
The model's expectation of 82.1 goals for Amo HK and 10.8 for Skanela suggests a total that is heavily skewed. The draw probability is listed at 0%, and the chance of both teams scoring is also 0%. This outcome would no longer hold if Skanela manage to score more than 10 goals or if Amo HK fail to break through in the first half, allowing Skanela to control the tempo and push for extra time.