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Montpellier
Skanderborg AGF
Prediction for Montpellier — Skanderborg AGF
54%
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Atl. Valladolid vs Puerto Sagunto: match prediction on 27 September 2026
Atl. Valladolid
Puerto Sagunto
Prediction for
Win: Atl. Valladolid
77%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
92%
1
8%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 25 Sep, 11:11- Вальядолид — 3. place, 4 points after 2 games (2 wins, 0 losses)
- Пуэрто-Сагунто — 8. place, 2 points after 2 games (1 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses)
- Вальядолид, last 5 games: 3 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses
- Пуэрто-Сагунто, last 5 games: 2 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 2 games, Вальядолид — 2, Пуэрто-Сагунто — 0
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Atl. Valladolid
LWWWW
4 wins · 1 loss
Puerto Sagunto
DLWLL
1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses
Head to head 2
2Atl. Valladolid
0Draw
0Puerto Sagunto
All head-to-head
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 25 Sep, 11:11Atl. Valladolid are strong favourites to beat Puerto Sagunto on Sunday. The gap between them is clear: Valladolid are unbeaten in two league matches and have won both meetings in this fixture, while Puerto Sagunto have drawn one and lost one in the opening round. The model puts Valladolid's expected goals at 41 against Puerto Sagunto's 17.3.
Valladolid's start has been straightforward. Two wins from two in Liga ASOBAL, four points, and they sit fourth in the table. Their last five games show three wins, one draw, one loss, with 148 goals scored and 139 conceded. The most recent result was a 34:26 home victory over BM Villa de Aranda on 19 September. Puerto Sagunto's picture is different. One win, one draw, no losses in the league so far, but they are ninth with just two points. Their last five matches brought two wins, one draw, two losses, 139 goals for and 142 against. They lost 24:27 to Granollers BM at home on 19 September.
Puerto Sagunto have not secured a victory in either encounter. That pattern suggests the visitors will need to change something to avoid another defeat.
The model expects Valladolid to score 41 goals and Puerto Sagunto 17.3. Draw probability is 0%, both teams to score 0%, and three or more goals for Puerto Sagunto 0%. These figures point to a comfortable home win rather than a tight contest.