Volleyligaen Women
Farum Women
Aalborg Volley Women
Prediction for Farum Women — Aalborg Volley Women
70%
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Avia Grade Constanta vs Donbas Mariupol: match prediction on 4 October 2026
Avia Grade Constanta
Donbas Mariupol
Prediction for
Win: Donbas Mariupol
67%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
33%
1
67%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 1 Oct, 16:10- Авиа Граде Констанца — 8. place, 0 points after 2 games (0 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses)
- Донбасс Мариуполь — 5. place, 3 points after 2 games (1 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses)
- Авиа Граде Констанца, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Донбасс Мариуполь, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 4 games, Авиа Граде Констанца — 0, Донбасс Мариуполь — 4
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Avia Grade Constanta
WLLLW
2 wins · 3 losses
Donbas Mariupol
WWLWL
3 wins · 2 losses
Head to head 5
0Avia Grade Constanta
0Draw
5Donbas Mariupol
- 3 OctAvia Grade Constanta — Donbas Mariupol34:35
- 4 AprDonbas Mariupol — Avia Grade Constanta30:24
- 3 AprDonbas Mariupol — Avia Grade Constanta30:15
- 22 Nov 2025Avia Grade Constanta — Donbas Mariupol21:33
- 21 Nov 2025Avia Grade Constanta — Donbas Mariupol27:38
Bookmaker market
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 1 Oct, 16:10Donbas Mariupol extend unbeaten run with narrow victory
Donbas Mariupol secured a 35-34 victory over Avia Grade Constanta on Sunday, October 4. The result keeps the visitors unbeaten in their Superleague campaign, moving them to five points from three matches.
The win follows a pattern of tight contests between the sides. The two teams met earlier in October, on October 3, where Donbas Mariupol also emerged victorious by a single-goal margin, winning 35-34. Head-to-head records show Donbas Mariupol have dominated recent meetings, winning all four previous Superleague encounters against Avia Grade Constanta.
Avia Grade Constanta’s recent form has been inconsistent, with five matches yielding two wins and three losses, during which they scored 157 goals and conceded 175. Prior to this match, they were in seventh place with one point, having drawn all their first three games. Donbas Mariupol enter this fixture in sixth place, buoyed by their superior goal difference and the momentum of their recent results, including a home win against Spartak Kyiv.
The match result contradicted the pre-match model, which predicted a combined total of 60 goals (27.3 for Avia Grade Constanta, 32.8 for Donbas Mariupol) and suggested a 0% probability for a draw. The actual score of 35-34 resulted in a real total of 69 goals. The victory ensures Donbas Mariupol maintain their position above Avia Grade Constanta in the table, extending their unbeaten streak to three games.