Neckarsulmer Women vs Bensheim-Auerbach Women: match prediction on 29 August 2026

Bensheim-Auerbach Women are the clear favourites to win this encounter. They have won every one of the last six meetings between these sides, and the model puts them ahead on expected goals at 31.1 to 29.9. The probability of this outcome is 65%.

Bensheim-Auerbach have not lost to Neckarsulmer in six consecutive matches going back to February 2024. The margins have been consistent: 36:32, 39:31. This is not a case of luck or a single off-day; it is a pattern that has held for over two years.

Both teams are struggling in their current form, but the gap between them is widening. Neckarsulmer have taken four points from five matches — one win, one draw, three losses — while Bensheim-Auerbach have managed just three points from five, with a single victory and four defeats. Neckarsulmer's recent win came in a DHB Pokal fixture against Bergischer HC Women, 30:27 away, which suggests they can produce moments of quality. Bensheim-Auerbach's last win was at home against Buxtehuder SV Women, 36:32 in March.

The model's expected goals figures suggest a tight contest, but the historical record contradicts this. Neckarsulmer are projected to score 29.9 goals, Bensheim-Auerbach 31.1 — a difference of just 1.2 goals. Yet in the last six meetings, Bensheim-Auerbach have won by margins ranging from 2 goals to 8 goals. The model does not account for the psychological weight of a losing streak, and Neckarsulmer seem unable to break through despite being the home side.

This prediction would fall apart if Neckarsulmer find a way to control the tempo early. They have shown they can score 33 goals against Goppingen Women in a draw, and 30 goals against Bergischer HC in a win. If they can keep Bensheim-Auerbach below their 31.1 expected goals and push into the 32-33 range themselves, the historical pattern could finally break. But without evidence of a tactical shift or a key player returning from injury, the visitors remain the likely winners.

Correct score prediction: Bensheim-Auerbach Women 32-29 Neckarsulmer Women