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Bergen vs Elverum: match prediction on 5 September 2026

Bergen Elverum

Prediction for

Win: Elverum

56%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

44% 1
56% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 3 Sep, 14:29

Elverum are the clear favourites for this encounter. The model expects Elverum to score 31.8 goals against Bergen's 29.4, and the confidence in this outcome sits at 56%. That figure reflects the gap in momentum and the historical pattern, not a guarantee.

Elverum arrived in peak condition. They won all five of their last matches, scoring 190 goals while conceding 123, averaging 38 scored and 24.6 conceded. Their most recent outing was a 38:27 victory over Viking TIF in the REMA 1000-ligaen. They’ve won their last five league outings.

Bergen's trajectory runs in the opposite direction. Their last five matches produced two wins and three losses, with 152 goals scored and 160 conceded. Their most recent result was a 30:24 defeat away to Runar. The goal difference tells the story: they have been outscored in three of five recent outings.

The head-to-head record

Elverum have dominated this fixture for years. The most recent encounter on 11 February 2026 ended 33:29 to Elverum. Bergen's only point came in a 23:23 draw in October 2025. Across these six recorded matches, Elverum scored 188 goals to Bergen's 156.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 3 Sep, 14:29
  • Берген — 12. place, 0 points after 1 games (0 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses)
  • Эльверум — 2. place, 2 points after 1 games (1 wins, 0 losses)
  • Берген, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Эльверум, last 5 games: 5 wins, 0 losses
  • Head-to-head: 8 games, Берген — 0, 1 draws, Эльверум — 7

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Bergen LLLWW 2 wins · 3 losses
Elverum WWWWW 5 wins

Head to head 8

0Bergen 1Draw 7Elverum
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+