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Bistrița Women vs SCM Craiova Women: match prediction on 14 October 2026

Liga Națională Women TeraPlast Arena Bistrița Hit Match page
Bistrița Women SCM Craiova Women

Prediction for

Win: Bistrița Women

72%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

72% 1
28% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 12 Oct, 15:05

Bistrița Women to win. Confidence 70%.

The model puts Bistrița at 37.6 goals against Craiova's 20.6, and the draw probability sits at 0%. The hosts have not lost a league match this season — five wins from five — while Craiova carry three defeats in five outings. Bistrița's attack averaged 34 goals across their last five matches, Craiova 28. The gap in output is large enough to expect a comfortable home victory.

Recent form shows Bistrița scoring freely while Craiova grind out results. The hosts won 38:35 away to NFH, beat Baia Mare 33:28 at home, then lost 32:36 to Gyor in the Champions League before dismantling Zalău 38:22 and edging past Odense 29:27. Craiova's last five produced two wins and three draws — they beat Zalău 29:21, drew 26:26 with Valcea and Brașov, won 27:24 at Iasi, and drew 32:32 with Slatina. Bistrița are not holding back; Craiova are.

History favours the hosts

The most recent clash on 1 April 2026 ended 35:28 in Bistrița's favour. Before that, Craiova lost 23:28 away in November 2025 and 25:24 at home in February 2025. They did win 28:30 at home in September 2023, but the pattern is clear — Bistrița have dominated this fixture.

Standings tell the same story

Bistrița sit second with 10 points from five matches, undefeated. Craiova are sixth on seven points with two wins and three losses. The four-point gap is not dramatic on paper, but the quality of results matters — Bistrița's five victories include Champions League wins over Odense and NFH, while Craiova have drawn three league matches. The table position reflects a difference in ambition and execution.

The model's expected goals suggest a scoreline around 38-21, though the 0% probability for both teams scoring and 3+ goals appears inconsistent with handball's typical scoring patterns. Craiova's ability to absorb pressure and hit on the counter — they have not lost in five matches, which shows resilience. A slow start from Bistrița or an early injury to a key attacker could shift momentum. Craiova's defensive structure has kept them unbeaten; if that holds for 60 minutes, the match could tighten.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 12 Oct, 15:05
  • Бистрица Жен — 2. place, 10 points after 5 games (5 wins, 0 losses)
  • СМ Крайова Женщины — 6. place, 7 points after 5 games (2 wins, 3 losses)
  • Бистрица Жен, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
  • СМ Крайова Женщины, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses
  • Head-to-head: 7 games, Бистрица Жен — 5, СМ Крайова Женщины — 2

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Bistrița Women WLWWW 4 wins · 1 loss
SCM Craiova Women WDDWL 2 wins · 2 draws · 1 loss

Head to head 9

7Bistrița Women 0Draw 2SCM Craiova Women
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+