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Celje vs PSG: match prediction on 9 September 2026

Champions League Arena Zlatorog Celje Pending Match page
Celje PSG

Prediction for

Win: PSG

62%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

38% 1
62% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 7 Sep, 16:03

PSG win (62%)

The visitors have won every match this season — five victories in five games, no draws, no setbacks — while Celje have lost three of their last five outings. The visitors' defensive record is tighter too: 140 conceded against 166 scored, compared with Celje's 190 conceded for 176 scored.

PSG's run has been flawless. They beat Chambéry Savoie 32:29 away on 4 September, then won the Trophée des Champions 21:20 against Montpellier at home on 29 August. Before that came a 37:29 victory over Japan U23, a 41:31 win at Zeekstar Tokyo Jpn, and a 35:31 home victory against Tremblay.

Celje's recent form tells a different story. Two wins — 40:33 away at Skofljica and 35:21 at home against Ivancna Gorica — but three losses in friendlies against Tatabanya, Kielce and Veszprem. The friendlies went poorly: 37:38, 32:49, 32:49. The league wins have come in Slovenia's 1. NLB Liga, a tier below where PSG operate in the Starligue.

The goal averages reflect the expected dominance, not a tight contest.

Celje could frustrate PSG's attack by slowing the tempo. The visitors have not faced a side with Celje's home advantage before. A draw would suit PSG less than a loss — and given their possession control, that is the main threat.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 7 Sep, 16:03
  • Целе, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • ПСЖ, last 5 games: 5 wins, 0 losses

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Celje LLWWL 2 wins · 3 losses
PSG WWWWD 4 wins · 1 draw

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+